Alright, I’m going to keep this short and sweet this week. Four weeks have come and gone this NFL season and unfortunately I am an even 5-5(+.07 units). If Clowntonio Brown could have simply caught either of those two passes in the fourth quarter, we would’ve had a positive week 4. Week 4 is in our rearview and I am ready to roll! As I sit here watching this disgusting Falcons vs Jets game, I have a really good feeling about today.
Let’s get right into my three best bets for Week 5.
LIONS AT VIKINGS
For my first pick of Week 5, I will be taking Kendall Brown’s own Kirk Cousins to throw for over 2.5 TD passes (+145). Betting on Kirk Cousins goes against everything I stand for as a gambler, but the fact of the matter is that Kirk Cousins is a Lion killer. Since joining the Vikings in 2018, Cousins has thrown 15 touchdowns to just 1 interception in 6 games against Detroit. In fact, he has thrown for at least 3 touchdowns in four of the six games he has faced the Lions since becoming a Viking. I hate to say it, but Cousins is playing well this season. With a banged-up Dalvin Cook, Cousins will be forced to throw the ball a bit more today. If you’re feeling extra lucky, look out for a two-touchdown game from Adam Thielen as Kirk will be slinging it all over U.S. Bank Stadium.
BEARS AT RAIDERS
For my second pick of the day, I will be doing something a little different in that my pick is a 2-leg same game parlay. I am taking Hunter Renfrow 5+ receptions + Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline (+190). So far this season, Renfrow has recorded at least five receptions in all four of his games. It’s no secret that Renfrow is Derek Carr’s favorite target on third down and that has become increasingly evident this season. With opposing defenses making it a point of emphasis to double Darren Waller, Renfrow has quickly become a legitimate part of the Raiders offense. Renfrow has shown flashes of greatness in the past, but never on a week-to-week basis. As he is only behind Waller in targets on the Raiders, look for Renfrow to have another big day today against an aging Bears defense. As far as Raiders ML goes, I know they have been the slowest team out of the gate in the 1st quarter this season. But all I have to say is, do you really want to bet on Matt Nagy to be competent? No. I didn’t think so. Raiders win on the back of the hardest-hitting receiver in the league, Hunter Renfrow.
BILLS AT CHIEFS
And of course, I can’t forget about Sunday Night Football. For my third and final pick of the day, I will be taking Travis Kelce to score anytime + Kansas City to Win (+165). Now, I know everyone loves them some Buffalo Bills. But I’m not sold on this team as of yet. They have played Ben Roethlisberger, Jacoby Brisset, Taylor Heinicke, and Davis Mills Mafia. And we’re supposed to believe that their defense has finally figured it out? Give me a fucking break. Now, I’ll change my tune if they hold Mahomes at bay, but I highly doubt that will happen. Chiefs by 1000. When it comes to Kelce, I simply feel like we haven’t heard enough Travis Kelce talk this season. He has had a great season by any normal tight end metrics. But we’re talking about Travis Kelce. He hasn’t found the end zone in two weeks and he is more than due. In his two games against Buffalo last season, Kelce scored two touchdowns in each game. I might go as far to say that Travis Kelce scoring a touchdown tonight is an absolute lock. Sorry Jody Fortson fans, but tonight is Travis Kelce’s time.
Tail at your own risk! You can find all these odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. Good luck everybody. Let’s win some money. And, as always, bet responsibly! Feel free to shoot me a follow over on Twitter and Instagram: @dvivolo6.
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