All I’m going to see is to make sure to tune into The Fantasy Tailgate every Sunday at 11AM EST because once again our fearless leader The Wolf came down from the clouds bellowing Rex Burkhead‘s name as a Week 3 play with James White inactive. I don’t know how he does it, he’s just built differently.
Onto Week 4.
Let’s ride.
You might feel sick… but Rex Burkhead is:
Bare minimum ($4k) on DK, lone Pats pass-catching back w/ White out, bald, fresh off 73% snaps & now vs. a Raiders D that's given up the most RecYds (177) & 2nd-most ruTDs to RBs
— Wolf of Roto Street (@RotoStreetWolf) September 25, 2020
QUARTERBACKS:
- Russell Wilson ($7,800)
- The clear front runner for MVP at the moment, Russ is certainly cooking and playing out of this world. The Miami Dolphins pose no threat to slowing him down, and a knee injury to Chris Carson may tilt Seattle’s game script even more pass-heavy than usual. The safest QB play there is this week.
- Kyler Murray ($7,000)
- Another MVP candidate, Kyler’s rushing upside will always keep him in consideration for QB plays each week. Now that he has Hopkins at his disposal, his passing stats are rising steadily. This matchup with Carolina is mouth-watering though, as teams have been able to run with ease. He’s going to abuse this defense.
- Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,400)
- The Bearded Wonder rounds out our QB grouping, facing the defense allowing the most DK points per game to the position. Teams are having to play serious catchup with Russ, and Fitzpatrick has been one of fantasy’s top QBs ever since he last took over the starting role in Miami. He’s also been flashing some rushing upside when the defense gives it to him.
RUNNING BACKS:
- Alvin Kamara ($8,000)
- He continues to put up eye-popping numbers in a Saints offense that just feeds him the football. Kamara is racking up receptions and yards like he’s a WR1 and continues to be a beast in the ground game. The Lions defense is weak against the run and Kamara’s insane workload ranks him the top RB on the slate.
- James Robinson ($6,500)
- One of the bigger stock bumps this week, Robinson solidified his RB1 role in Jacksonville after a huge TNF game. He handled all the goal-line work and was immune from a negative game flow that forced Gardner Minshew to throw all night. Surprisingly, Robinson had a ton of dump-offs and was the team’s bright spot. Facing a Bengals defense with high volume touches should pay dividends.
- Kenyan Drake ($6,000)
- He looked poised for a breakout last game but failed to deliver. Drake will get his redemption shot this week though against the Panthers who just let Austin Ekeler gash them for 31 points. Teams have been able to run all over Carolina thus far, and as long as Murray doesn’t hog the ball, this will be Drake’s best shot at delivering.
- Darrell Henderson ($5,800)
- Taking full advantage of the RB1 role in McVay’s offense, Henderson has put up back-to-back 20-plus point DK games and is lined up nicely for a third. The Giants stink, and the Rams should be up early this week, forcing a run positive game script for Henderson.
- Mike Davis ($5,700)
- The CMC fill-in didn’t disappoint in his first start. Thirteen carries and 8 catches for a whopping 23 DK points, Davis is taking full advantage of his workload and we love what we’re seeing with the dump-offs from Bridgewater. Another high touch day is in store against the Cardinals this week.
WIDE RECEIVERS:
- DeAndre Hopkins ($8,500)
- Hopkins has topped over 20 DK points every week thus far as Murray’s target hog. Gets nearly double-digit targets every week and has been a force in the Air Raid offense. Carolina is not slowing him down.
- Tyreek Hill ($6,900) UPDATE: (***Tyreek Hill moved off Main Slate***)
- The drop in usual price is probably because of a matchup with the Patriots, but Hill doesn’t have to worry about coverage from Stephon Gilmore. Hill has elite speed and has taken the top off of New England’s defense before. We saw what Wilson and DK Metcalf did in Week 2 and I can’t see why the Hill/Mahomes combo can’t succeed this week. Hill has scored every week so far this season.
- Mike Evans ($6,400)
- Evans has been a touchdown machine with four so far this season, but his usage has been very suspect in Weeks 1 and 3. This week, the Bucs figure to be without Chris Godwin, meaning Evans is likely in for a much larger role in the passing game. Scotty Miller is also dealing with a few lingering injuries, so there’s a chance Evans could be one of the few fully healthy receivers in Tampa Bay.
- Will Fuller ($5,900)
- The Texans have had an awful stretch of games starting with the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers. Brutal schedule. Now they are gifted with the Vikings at home, who are arguably one of the NFL’s worst defenses. It’s a breakout game for Watson and the Texans offense, and while Fuller’s hamstring is still intact, it looks like a great spot to use him.
- Odell Beckham Jr ($5,800)
- It’s been a very underwhelming start to the year for OBJ, but if there was ever a time for him to deliver, then it has to be this week against the Cowboys. The Dallas defense has been very bad, most notably in the secondary. Meanwhile, Beckham has been leading the team in target share and dominating the air yards category. Plus, don’t you just expect him to go off in Jerry World?
- DeVante Parker ($5,700)
- If you couldn’t tell, there are a lot of nice options in the high 5k range. A nice stack candidate alongside Fitzpatrick, Parker finds himself in a plus matchup/game script against Seattle where they will certainly be playing from behind. Parker has been leading the way in air yards and target share in Miami’s offense, while Preston Williams has been MIA (no pun intended).
- Hunter Renfrow ($4,600)
- With the injuries to Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards, Renfrow will look for a second straight productive game against the Bills. With Ruggs out last week, Renfrow saw a large bump in snaps, and then dominated the Raiders air and receiving yard totals. The Bills defense has struggled with slot receivers so far (Kupp had 9-107-1 last week) meaning the matchup and opportunity are ripe for Renfrow to capitalize.
- Nelson Agholor ($3,500)
- A potential pivot play from Renfrow here, but Agholor could be a solid long shot in the Raiders offense. Both Ruggs and Edwards are out as mentioned above, but in Week 3, Agholor played a season-high 83% of the team’s snaps. That led all Raiders receivers for the week and now he should be out there for a similar amount at a near stone minimum price at the position.
TIGHT ENDS:
- Darren Waller ($5,200)
- If you couldn’t tell already, I like the Raiders’ pass catchers this week. Waller was eliminated from the game plan last week by New England, so we’re looking at a nice bounce-back spot against Buffalo. His insanely high snap rate (95%) is reassuring, knowing he’s running a route on nearly every drop back.
- TJ Hockenson ($4,800)
- Contrary to many beliefs, Hockenson saw a stat increase with the return of Kenny Golladay. He played a higher snap rate (82% to 66%), saw a higher target share (23% to 12%), and was second in air yards to only Golladay (76 to 67). He’s a red-zone weapon in this offense and is playing against the Saints who have struggled mightily against tight ends.
- Mo Alie-Cox ($3,900)
- If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Even with Jack Doyle back, Cox played a higher amount of snaps than his previous two weeks and managed to score another touchdown. We all know Rivers loves his tight ends, and Cox is looking like he’s going to be very comfortable in this Colts offense.
DST:
- Baltimore Ravens ($4,000)
- It’s easy to pick one of the top defenses in the NFL against a Washington offense that struggles to score points and protect the QB. Plus, Haskins is very turnover prone. It’s clear why they are at the top of defensive pricing this week.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3,400)
- An up-and-coming defense, the Bucs have been getting more and more pressure on the opposing QB, which is great for fantasy. The Bucs are home favorites which equals a plus defensive game script. While Justin Herbert has looked like a promising NFL QB, it’s still very early in his career.
- Cincinnati Bengals ($2,900)
- I don’t really like any of the defenses under 3k, but I guess I could roll with the Bengals who have looked somewhat decent aside from the TNF shootout in Cleveland. The Jaguars’ o-line looked horrendous last game, resulting in a lot of sacks and turnovers from the offense.
