DraftKings NFL Week 7 Picks & Sleepers: Dissecting The Value in this Sneaky Slate

Let's get in the green this week.

Last week was a bit chalky, but overall it was a plus slate for your boy. The Bills stack, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Ja’Marr Chase made us some cash. It was nice and all, but we’re on to Week 7.

Let’s ride!

QUARTERBACKS

Joe Burrow $6,900 (vs ATL)

The Bengals look like they’re starting to shift toward a heavier pass attack. It could be from the lack of success with Joe Mixon, or just realizing that their best offense comes from Joe Burrow and their elite group of receivers. Burrow finally hit the 300-yard bonus last week for the first time since Week 1 while also adding a rushing score. We can’t rely on the rushing output week to week, but this passing game is finding its stride and now gets a struggling Atlanta defense.

Jimmy Garoppolo $5,500 (vs KC)

I already liked Jimmy G before the big news came out Thursday night. Playing against the Chiefs, the 49ers’ offense is going to have to score in bunches to keep up and Garoppolo will have to keep them in it. Now, the offense adds Christian McCaffrey, which would boost Garoppolo’s ceiling with his YAC ability. With CMC, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk, Jimmy G has the easiest job in football.

Other intriguing options:

Marcus Mariota $5,500 (at CIN), Matt Ryan $5,400 (at TEN), Davis Mills $5,000 (at LV)

RUNNING BACKS

Derrick Henry $8,200 (vs IND)

Before the bye, Derrick Henry ripped off three straight games with over 20 carries and 20 DK points. He looks fully recovered from his foot injury and he should see a healthy workhorse role against the Colts. Henry is one of the most polarizing players in terms of splits in wins vs losses and the signs point in a good direction for Henry this week as home favorites.

Josh Jacobs $6,500 (vs HOU)

Josh Jacobs entered bell cow territory in Josh McDaniels’ offense with over 20 carries in back-to-back games and five catches in three straight games. He’s a true workhorse out of the backfield and one of the bigger surprises this season. This week, Jacobs gets a juicy matchup against a Texans team that gets gashed on the ground against every single running back. The Raiders will also likely be without Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller — elevating his target share.

Kenneth Walker $5,800 (at LAC)

The season-ending injury to Rashaad Penny flung the door open for Ken Walker to be the unquestioned RB1 in Seattle. He responded with 21 carries on the day, landing just short of 100 yards and scored a touchdown in the win over Arizona. He should be a focal point again this week against the Chargers, especially if Tyler Lockett continues to be on the wrong side of the injury report.

Other intriguing options:

Austin Ekeler $8,300 (vs SEA), Saquon Barkley $7,900 (at JAX) Leonard Fournette $7,700 (at CAR), Aaron Jones $7,600 (at WAS), Dameon Pierce $6,400 (at LV), Breece Hall $6,200 (at DEN), Ezekiel Elliott $6,000 (vs DET), Justice Hill $4,200 (vs CLE)

WIDE RECEIVERS

Michael Pittman $7,400 (at TEN)

As the team’s target hog, Michael Pittman hasn’t found the end zone since Week 1, which means he’s due for some correction. Indianapolis has actually been trending up offensively after the few stinkers they put together to start the year. The return of Jonathan Taylor should help balance out the offense but be assured the passing game runs through Pittman, and the Titans are more exploitable through the air than the ground.

DK Metcalf $6,600 (at LAC)

DK Metcalf has had a pretty average year based on his usual output, but he’s looking at a higher ceiling this week against the Chargers. The big question is whether the Seahawks will give Geno Smith enough time to throw the ball to Metcalf against this scary front. Give me Metcalf over a struggling JC Jackson right now.

Amari Cooper $6,100 (at BAL)

Despite the struggling QB play, Amari Cooper has been a target hog in Cleveland’s offense. I guess that’s what happens when Donovan Peoples-Jones is your WR2, but Cooper has gotten plenty of looks in this offense. He’s scored in four of five games this year and now gets a struggling Ravens secondary. While Nick Chubb and the ground game are the focal points of this offense, Cooper can have a solid day here for a cheap price given his talents.

Romeo Doubs $5,000 (at WAS)

The numbers haven’t been there, but I liked Romeo Doubs’ usage and target share last week against the Jets. He should see an increase in usage this week with Randall Cobb out, and while Allen Lazard is the top option, Doubs has seen 30 targets over his last four games. This looks like a get-right game for the Packers and I can see them looking to reestablish the rookie in their offense.

Other intriguing options:

Davante Adams $8,700 (vs HOU), Ja’Marr Chase $8,200 (vs ATL), Deebo Samuel $7,600 (vs KC), Amon-Ra St. Brown $7,100 (at DAL), CeeDee Lamb $6,800 (vs DET), Tee Higgins $6,400 (vs ATL), Chris Godwin $6,300 (at CAR), Allen Lazard $6,100 (at WAS), Alec Pierce $4,600 (at TEN), Wan’Dale Robinson $4,500 (at JAX), Nico Collins $4,200 (at LV)

TIGHT ENDS

David Njoku $4,200 (at BAL)

David Njoku hasn’t found the end zone since that explosion against the Steelers, but he’s been a reliable fantasy tight end. His target share is great as the second option behind only Cooper, and he’s got a great average depth of target where he’s close to 15 yards per catch. Njoku can be a monster in the red zone, and this matchup with Baltimore is a great spot for the Browns offense to come alive.

Cade Otten $2,700 (at CAR)

When choosing between Cade Otten and Greg Dulchich I’m going to side with the guy catching balls from Tom Brady over Russell Wilson — it’s as simple as that. Otten will benefit from a big playing time increase after the injury to Cameron Brate. Brady has always had a thing with tight ends, and this game shouldn’t be much of a battle after the Panthers have seemingly entered into rebuild mode this year.

Other intriguing options:

Travis Kelce $8,000 (at SF), Robert Tonyan $4,100 (at WAS), Dalton Schultz $3,600 (vs DET), Daniel Bellinger $3,400 (at JAX), Evan Engram $3,300 (vs NYG), Foster Moreau $2,800 (vs HOU), Greg Dulcich $2,500 (vs NYJ)

DEFENSE

Denver Broncos $3,300 (vs NYJ)

This game could be a super low-scoring affair with how good the defenses have been and how defunct the offenses can look. The only part that worries me is Breece Hall because I can see Denver’s secondary absolutely shutting down Zach Wilson and forcing turnovers.

New York Giants $2,900 (at JAX)

The Giants have played great to start the year, and while it may seem like a trap game, I’ll go for the cheese. Trevor Lawrence is still turnover happy and is no stranger to those games when he looks like a true mess.

New York Jets $2,600 (at DEN)

This Broncos offense looks like utter shit. If Sauce Gardner can lock down one of Sutton or Jeudy, and the rest of the secondary does their job, the Jets’ front can wreak havoc against Wilson.

Other intriguing options:

Carolina Panthers $2,200 (vs TB)

Author

  • THE Inaugural 2016 RSJ Fantasy Football League Champion. Owner of a #bigbrain, and lover of football, baseball and college hoops. When not grinding for the RSJ, can be found captaining his beer league softball team.

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