We endured yet another brutal Thursday Night Football game, but we hit Brian Robinson Jr. anytime touchdown at +225 and Antonio Gibson under 45.5 rushing yards to get in the green on the night.
Last Sunday, I went 2-2 on my posted picks, highlighted by Rhamondre Stevenson and Gabe Davis flying over their totals, extending my record to 21-14 overall. Follow us on Instagram for additional picks throughout the afternoon.
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NAJEE HARRIS UNDER 58.5 RUSHING YARDS
Death, taxes, and Najee Harris unders. Harris was one of our biggest fades in the preseason and we’ve pounded the table for more Jaylen Warren all season. Harris is clearly banged up still and his offensive line blows. Now, Kenny Pickett is stealing rushing yards and they’ve become more pass-heavy because the team sucks. Harris has eclipsed this number just once all season (Week 4 vs Jets) and faces a tough Buccaneers front seven that should manhandle the Steelers’ offensive line. Keep pounding the under here on a weekly basis until the number drops below 50 yards.
AARON RODGERS OVER 1.5 TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS
Aaron Rodgers is not putting up elite Aaron Rodgers numbers. Yet, he’s still throwing a minimum of two touchdowns a week with his cast of characters at the receiver spot. Since Week 1, he’s thrown two touchdowns each week and has eight on the season. This week, he gets an ascending Jets secondary, but I’m not scared of Robert Salah’s crew. Rodgers will throw the ball inside the five and find a way to cash this over.
ALEC PIERCE OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS AND/OR OVER 47.5 REC YARDS
We told you to take a fantasy flier on Alec Pierce before his Week 5 blowup game, and we hope you listened. The rookie from Cincy secured eight of nine targets for 81 yards against a tough Broncos secondary and appeared to gain Matt Ryan’s trust. He’s exceeded 80 yards in two straight games and is the team’s clear WR2 across from Michael Pittman. The Jaguars’ defense is no slouch, but they’ve allowed nearly 700 yards and five touchdowns to wide receivers. Both of these totals are too low for Pierce.
GEORGE KITTLE OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS
After missing the first two games with a groin injury, George Kittle posted his best game last week, snagging five of six targets for 47 yards. Kittle has yet to breakout this season, but he’s in a prime position to do so against the Falcons this week. The Falcons are getting dismantled by tight ends, allowing 71 yards and the third-most fantasy points to the position all season. Expect Jimmy G to get his tight end going early. I also like the over 50.5 receiving yards.
Others to add to your Pick ‘Em: Zach Wilson over 0.5 INT, Tyler Allgeier under 48.5 rushing yards, Matt Ryan over 0.5 INT, Marcus Mariota over 0.5 INT, Kyle Pitts under 45.5 receiving yards, Daniel Jones over 1.5 total touchdowns, Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions
