The ManDog takes you through his favorite NFL Week 3 bets against the spread, along with a 6-point teaser.
Current Record: ATS: 5-7; Teasers: 0-3
Following a 2-2 Week 3, it’s time to get the season total back to .500. The six-point teaser failed again after the Chiefs folded to the Colts.
Vikings (-3.5) @ Saints (London)
- Minnesota had an impressive comeback against Detroit last week — displaying their attack on the ground and in the air. Kirk Cousins had 260-2-0 and Dalvin Cook posted 96 rush yards and a TD.
- The Saints underwhelmed against the lowly Panthers in Week 3. Kamara managed 61 yards on 15 carries, and the Saints only scored 14 points.
- Vikings have given up the ninth fewest points through 3 games – and they face a crippled Saints offense. Jameis Winston is doubtful to play and Michael Thomas has been ruled out. Jarvis Landry is questionable.
- I don’t think the Saints will have enough firepower with Jameis Winston and Michael Thomas sidelined to keep up with Minnesota’s aggressive offensive attack, give me the Vikings -3.5.
Bills @ Ravens (+3)
- Baltimore had a strong showing against the Patriots last week, as Lamar Jackson dazzled and impressed once again.
- The Ravens enter Week 4 as home underdogs, an environment where Lamar Jackson has thrived: Jackson is 14-2 ATS as a home dog.
- Buffalo had a tough loss to Miami last week, and they continue to suffer from many injuries on the defensive side of the ball. They played without five starters last week, and could face a similar situation against one of the top QBs in the NFL.
- I’ll take Lamar and the Ravens at home to cover against the banged-up Super Bowl favorites.
Patriots @ Packers (-9.5)
- New England enters this matchup likely without Mac Jones, who hobbled off the field with a high ankle sprain last week. The Patriots offense hasn’t inspired me enough to keep up with Aaron Rodgers on his home turf — especially with Brian Hoyer under center.
- Both Patriots’ losses have come by double digits, and there’s no reason to expect the Patriots to put up a fight here. They couldn’t compete with the Ravens or the Dolphins, and the Packers are a top-tier opponent.
- I expect the Packers to take care of business at home against a team that is clearly inferior.
Browns (-1) @ Falcons
- The Browns should be 3-0. Their historic, one-in-a-million, collapse against the Jets in Week 2 scared lots of people – but the Browns took care of business the other two games against average teams thus far.
- Cleveland rushed for 160 yards last week against the Steelers, and there’s no reason to expect them to slow down. The Falcons’ average defense (14th against the run) won’t have a real answer to the best rushing offense in the league.
- Even with Jadaveon Clowney and Myles Garrett both expected to miss Week 4, I think the Browns can scrap out a win against the Falcons, who just squeaked out a win against an unimpressive Seahawks team.
- Cleveland will protect the ball, take care of business against Atlanta, and win by more than the point they’re giving on the road.
Commanders @ Cowboys (-3)
- In spite of Dak Prescott’s injury, Dallas has impressed the last couple of weeks. They beat both the Bengals and Giants on primetime, and enter Week 4 with some serious momentum
- Cooper Rush controlled the offense once again in week 3, orchestrating a nice second-half comeback against the Giants. Dallas ran the ball very effectively — totaling 176 rush yards behind the two-headed monster of Zeke Elliott and Tony Pollard.
- The Cowboys’ biggest advantage against Washington is in the trenches – Carson Wentz was sacked NINE times by the Eagles last week. It won’t get any easier for Wentz against the Dallas defensive line, led by Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence, which leads the NFL with 13 sacks. Lawrence has been limited in practice with a foot injury, but reports are optimistic that he’ll play.
- There’s no reason for the Cowboys to be slowed down this week, and they should cover at home against the Commanders.
Week 4 Teaser: Ravens +9 & Packers -3.5
