After getting absolutely railed out by James Conner and TJ Hockenson, it was time to lick my wounds and have the Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb stack bring me back to life. While the cheap running backs were the way to go due to the Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, and Damien Harris inactives, it really shows how much a slate can change on any given day.
Either way, we’re #OnToWeek11, and let’s get back to printing out money.
QUARTERBACKS
Dak Prescott $7,200
- Prescott has been as consistent as they come at the QB position this season, throwing for multiple touchdown passes in all but one game this year. He’s done a great job of spreading the ball around to his weapons and he finds himself in a favorable matchup against the Chiefs. Their defense has really struggled this year, and the Cowboys have a plethora of weapons to expose their secondary. Plus, if Mahomes plays as well as he did this last week then it could be a high scoring affair for Dak and the Cowboys.
Joe Burrow $6,600
- Burrow and the Bengals return from a bye week to face a Raiders team that’s currently in a tail spin. They haven’t been the same since the firing of Jon Gruden, and the defense was just picked apart by Mahomes on SNF. Burrow has been throwing the ball a ton this year, and this pass-happy offense filled with talented receivers should feast on a weak Raiders secondary. Burrow could be in line for a huge game here.
Other intriguing QB salaries: Josh Allen $8,100 (vs Colts), Patrick Mahomes $7,600 (vs Cowboys), Kirk Cousins $6,100 (vs Packers), Justin Fields $5,700 (vs Ravens), Cam Newton $5,100 (vs Washington)
RUNNING BACKS
Nick Chubb $7,600
- Looking to return after an absence on the COVID list, Chubb enters into prime game script territory here as a home favorite against the Lions — who have surrendered the third-most points to opposing RBs. Kareem Hunt remains out, and while D’Ernest Johnson played well against the Patriots, Chubb is a different breed and one of the league’s most talented runners. Especially with all the ailments to Baker Mayfield, I’d expect a large workload for Chubb with positive results.
D’Andre Swift $7,000
- On the opposing sideline, D’Andre Swift was a huge benefactor of Dan Campbell taking the reigns of play calling duties. Swift had 36 (!) touches against the Steelers, rushing 33 times and catching three more balls. If his high usage continues, he could reach unseen production levels. The RB is extremely talented, and after the beatdown that Rhamondre Stevenson and the Patriots run game put on Cleveland, who’s to say Swift can’t find similar success in Week 11.
AJ Dillon $6,600
- With Aaron Jones sidelined with an MCL sprain, AJ Dillon has assumed RB1 duties and already capitalized on his opportunity with two goal line touchdowns last week. The Quad Monster is an absolute horse, and has shown from his college days that he can easily be a featured back in an offense. Luckily, a Green Bay offense led by Aaron Rodgers is a great one because it can maximize Dillon’s value around the goal line. It’ll be nice to be in a dome this week in Minnesota as a change of pace from snowy Lambeau.
Other intriguing RB salaries: Dalvin Cook $8,200 (vs Packers), James Conner $6,100 (vs Seahawks), Myles Gaskin $5,700 (vs Jets), Mark Ingram $5,400 (vs Eagles), Jeff Wilson Jr $5,100 (vs Jaguars) D’Onta Foreman $4,900 (vs Texans)
WIDE RECEIVERS
Tyreek Hill $8,200
- This Cowboys-Chiefs game is easily the highest projected scoring game of the week with 56 total points. In a likely shootout, I’d expect Hill to have double-digit targets and very high touchdown upside. Mahomes has always had a heavy focus on getting Hill the ball and letting his elite athleticism take over. Hill has three straight games with 10-plus targets, along with three total touchdowns during that span. He’s a good bet to put up big numbers on Sunday during this big time matchup.
DK Metcalf $6,800
- The return of Russell Wilson is big time for Seattle’s offense, along with getting out of Lambeau Field and the snow storm that came with it. While Metcalf’s numbers this year have been pretty decent, he’s benefited from high touchdown output compared to his wideout partner, Tyler Lockett. Metcalf has a strong WR/CB matchup ranking this week against the Cardinals and should be a prime bounce back candidate.
Tee Higgins $5,400
- While Ja’Marr Chase has gotten the majority of the attention among Bengals’ receivers, don’t be sleeping on Higgins and the production he has had thus far when healthy. With six targets minimum over his last five games, Higgins’ volume has been right on par with the rookie sensation. Having not scored since Week 2, Higgins is due for some positive touchdown regression against a very weak Raiders secondary.
Other intriguing WR salaries: Stefon Diggs $7,900 (vs Colts), CeeDee Lamb $7,600 (vs Chiefs), DeVonta Smith $6,400 (vs Saints)
TIGHT ENDS
Mike Gesicki
- This guy definitely doesn’t classify as a tight end and I don’t know if I would either. Regardless, you have a super talented pass-catcher on a team lacking consistent weapons facing a bad Jets team. He had a big goose egg last week, so somebody this talented shouldn’t be putting up back-to-back stinkers. Gesicki has the third highest-rated TE matchup of the week, per PFF.
Dan Arnold
- With 24 targets over his last three games, Dan Arnold is here to stay. The tight end is arguably Trevor Lawrence’s top receiving option and he has a relatively high-floor on a weekly basis. While the 49ers stifled Matthew Stafford on MNF, they did allow a score to Tyler Higbee. Thus, Arnold’s targets should keep him involved even though he faces a tough matchup on paper. Arnold has yet to score this season, meaning he’s extremely due within this Jaguars offense.
Other intriguing TE salaries: Darren Waller $6,100 (vs Bengals), Dalton Schultz $4,600 (vs Chiefs), Gerald Everett $3,100 (vs Cardinals), David Njoku $2,900 (vs Lions)
DST
Philadelphia Eagles D/ST
- The Eagles are starting to trend up lately and the defense had a massive performance against the Broncos last week. This week, they welcome the Saints to the City of Brotherly Love, and with Trevor Siemian still starting and the possible absence of Alvin Kamara, this offense doesn’t scare me much.
Other intriguing DST salaries: Cleveland Browns $3,100 (vs Lions), Carolina Panthers D/ST $2,900 (vs Washington), New York Jets $2,300 (vs Dolphins)
Do you have any early leans? Questions about which guy you should go with this week? Want to yell at me for missing an obvious play? Sound off below or hit me up on Twitter where you can follow for daily news or advice on players.
