Welcome back to another week of DraftKings NFL Picks. Week 7 is lining up to be an all-time wacky week with only 10 games on the slate, but seemingly 1,000 good NFL offenses on bye this week. Week 6 was a bit of a tough one getting burned by the Ravens/Chiefs game, but at least Jonathan Taylor had himself a day.
So, let’s get started and continue to print out that money.
Aaron Rodgers $7,500
- Since his Week 1 blunder, Rodgers has averaged over 20 DK points per game. He’s been as consistent as they come and has worked his way into matchup-proof territory. Rodgers and the Packers’ offense should stay hot against a bad Washington defense.
Jalen Hurts $6,900
- It looked like Week 6 was going to be ugly for Hurts before a late-game rushing surge to keep his season-long streak of 20-plus DK points alive. For as long as he’s healthy and running, Hurts will have unlimited upside in an offense that has just stopped giving the ball to their running backs. The Eagles are three-point dogs on the fresh new turf in Las Vegas, which was built for Hurts’ speed. With the Eagles likely playing from behind again, I like Hurts once again (as always) as a high upside play under $7K.
Matt Ryan $5,700
- Fresh off a bye, Matty Ice has been riding a hot hand with back-to-back 20-plus point performances. He looks much more comfortable in the pocket and offense and has been spreading the ball around with ease. Adjusting to life without Julio Jones hasn’t been easy, but he’s figuring it out. The Dolphins used to be a negative matchup, but those days are over as they’ve struggled mightily.
Other intriguing QB salaries: Derek Carr $6,000 (vs Eagles), Tua Tagovailoa $5,500 (vs Falcons)
Derrick Henry $9,200
- Despite limited to no receiving work, Henry has been so goddamn good on the ground that he’s still paying off his huge price tag. Tannehill and the passing game haven’t been up to par with what they were last year, meaning Henry is carrying even more responsibility on his shoulders. A workhorse in the truest form, Henry is running wild over defenses, and the shaky Chiefs defense is next in his crosshairs.
Darrell Henderson $6,600
- The newest inductee into the bell cow community, Henderson has taken full reign of the Rams backfield while sprinkling in some receiving work here and there. He’s scored in every game but one, while operating as the lone and lead goal line back for the offense. Henderson is capitalizing on this opportunity and it won’t stop against the Lions’ league-worst run defense.
Cordarrelle Patterson $6,300
- The emergence of Patterson this season has been breathtaking. The Swiss Army Knife is profiting on the heavy volume of touches that he’s getting for the first time in his career. He’s rushing the football and catching so many passes — not to mention he’s finding the end zone nearly every week.
Damien Harris $5,700
- Harris finally broke the century mark last week against the Cowboys with 101 yards and a score. He could have had a second one if he hadn’t left the field for a play with a chest injury, but nonetheless a very good overall day for the Patriots RB1. Now he gets a favorable matchup as a big home favorite against a bad Jets’ run defense. The script sets up very nicely for Harris this week.
Other intriguing RB salaries: Leonard Fournette $6,400 Chuba Hubbard $6,100 (vs Giants), (vs Bears), D’Andre Swift $6,000 (vs Rams), Darrel Williams $5,800 (vs Titans), JD McKissic $5,000 (vs Packers)
Tyreek Hill $8,600
- Hill has double-digit targets in three straight games now while playing in this week’s highest projected scoring game. Hill is always a threat to explode week in and week out, the Titans’ secondary has been extremely bad. Pencil Tyreek in for another 30-point explosion.
Calvin Ridley $6,600
- Ridley has been out since Week 4, but he’s also seen double-digit targets in three straight games. The Falcons’ alpha has really underperformed compared to his expected fantasy points, as he hasn’t caught a touchdown since Week 2. With this much usage in the offense, Ridley is poised to bounce back in a major way against a bad Dolphins’ defense.
Sterling Shepard $5,600
- Sterling Shepard returned from a hamstring injury last week and assumed the target hog role he was in earlier this season. Kenny Golladay is banged up but is likely to play, while Kadarius Toney might be on the shelf for another week or so. Shepard should be force-fed the ball once again in a pass-heavy script against the Rams.
Other intriguing WR salaries: Davante Adams $8,900 (vs Washington), Cooper Kupp $8,400 (vs Lions), DJ Moore $7,100 (vs Giants), AJ Brown $6,300 (vs Chiefs), Brandin Cooks $6,000 (vs Cardinals), Jaylen Waddle $5,600 (vs Falcons), Mecole Hardman $4,300 (vs Titans), Rashod Bateman $3,400 (vs Bengals)
Mark Andrews $6,000
- How does one celebrate National Tight End Day this Sunday? By playing the guy who says he’s planning to celebrate by “going off.” Andrews has a strong chunk of the target share in Baltimore and is certainly the top receiving option down in the red zone. Andrews’ floor is extremely high while possessing the high ceiling upside when Lamar is playing at his best.
Mike Gesicki $4,700
- This guy right here is practically playing as a wide receiver. Gesicki is lining up out wide far more frequently than he is lined up inside or on the line of scrimmage. The injuries to Dolphins receivers have increased his target share where it’s elevated his scoring floor to a very high level for a tight end. The return of Tua Tagovailoa also boosts Gesicki and the Dolphins’ overall offensive outlook.
Other intriguing TE salaries: Hunter Henry $4,100 (vs Jets), Ricky Seals-Jones $3,700 (vs Packers)
New England Patriots $3,400
- The last time the Patriots played the Jets they held them to six points and picked off Zach Wilson four times. Bill Belichick has very good success against rookie QBs (outside of Davis Mills, lol) and the Jets offense hasn’t been very inspiring as of late. With a QB who is as turnover-prone as Wilson, fantasy defenses eat that up. Especially as big home favorites.
Arizona Cardinals $3,100
- The Cardinals took advantage of an injured Browns team last week, as their front seven continues to get relentless pressure on the QB. This week with the Texans coming to down, Davis Mills isn’t doing anything to strike fear into the hearts of the Cardinals defense.
Other intriguing DST salaries: Baltimore Ravens $2,900 (vs Bengals), New York Jets $2,400 (vs Patriots)
Do you have any early leans? Questions about which guy you should go with this week? Want to yell at me for missing an obvious play? Sound off below or hit me up on Twitter where you can follow for daily news or advice on players.