2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 13 Stacks & Value Picks - Roto Street Journal
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2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 13 Stacks & Value Picks

Week 12 Recap: Hopefully you guys played Derrick Henry and/or Tyreek Hill because they both absolutely broke the slate. Kendall and I took last week to spend time with our families during the Thanksgiving holiday. For some of you, Thanksgiving marks the end of your season’s in redraft leagues, but that doesn’t mean the fun has to be over. This is the time to pour all your efforts into making some bread playing the DraftKings Millionaire Maker tournament. 

Week 13 DFS Battle

Kendall’s Lineup Tino’s Lineup
QB Justin Herbert, $6,900 Aaron Rodgers, $6,800
RB Chris Carson, $6,300 Austin Ekeler, $7,100
RB Austin Ekeler, $7,100 “Tank” Gore, $4,400
WR Keenan Allen, $8,100 Davante Adams, $9,000
WR Cooper Kupp, $6,100 Justin Jefferson, $6,900
WR Robert Woods, $5,900 Darnell Mooney, $3,400
TE Mo Alie-Cox, $2,700 Robert Tonyan, $3,700
Flex Laviska Shenault Jr., $3,600 Brandin Cooks, $5,600
DST Seahawks DST, $3,300 Lions DST, $2,500

Stacks of the Week

KB: I’m going back to an old reliable stack this week with Chris Carson (9.5%) & Seattle DST (16.8%) against the Daniel Jones-less New York Football Giants. After missing 4 straight games prior to Monday Night, Carson should be back to 100% healthy entering Week 13. He only saw 10 opportunities last week, but in Weeks 2 through 4, prior to his injury, he was averaging 18 opportunities per game. Carson looked goooood, running hard against the Eagles and I think we’ll see more of the same against the Giants. 

Now onto the Seahawks Defense. Typically I don’t like to play highly owned defenses but this matchup just feels too good to pass up on.  Since their Week 6 bye week (so their last 6 games), the Seahawks have recorded 22 sacks. While this defense is still not on the level it has been in recent years, Seattle’s defense is steadily improving every week. 

The Giants are going to have a very difficult time moving the ball with Colt McCoy under center and the Seahawks should be winning the field position battle all game by getting after the quarterback and forcing turnovers. Chris Carson could be the beneficiary of a blowout with Seattle just looking to kill the clock and run the ball towards the end of the game. 

JT:  One of my personality flaws is my inability to quit the Las Vegas Raiders. This week, I am going with Derek Carr and his trusty TE Darren Waller.  While the tight end is a position that is extremely difficult to predict, Waller is one worth paying the substantial premium for. He is currently the TE2 on the year and has consistently been Carr’s No. 1 target, for now, a second straight year.  

The real reasons I like this stack? 

  1. Carr Bounce Back Game: The Raiders are coming off an embarrassing 43-6 showing against the Falcons, where Carr was benched for ….. Nathan Peterman.  It doesn’t get worse than that.  Carr has been notorious during his career for being a high variance quarterback.  I expect the resilient QB to bounce back against a tanking Jets team and keep his club in the playoff hunt.
  2. Matchup: Carr and Waller are walking into a matchup with a Jets defense that has given up an average of 14.9 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends.  Darren Waller is not your average tight end.  He is a focal point of this offense and has shown the ability to take over games when force-fed the ball.  I expect Gruden and the coaching staff to give Carr the easy throws to get him back on track this week, and those easy throws are to your pro bowl tight end in Darren Waller. I like Waller to score at least one TD this week with upside for more. 

Triple Stack of the Week

KB: My triple stack this week is Justin Herbert (3.2%), Austin Ekeler (13.9%), and Keenan Allen (7%). Herbert and Keenan Allen have been nothing short of spectacular this season. Justin Herbert very well might be on his way to an Offensive Rookie of the Year Award with the performances that he has had this season. Herbert has already tied Andrew Luck with the most 300+ yard passing games in his rookie season (6). Despite an “ehhhh” matchup against New England, Herbert’s low projected ownership, combined with his big-game potential makes him an underrated value this week in my opinion. Particularly when stacked with Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen. Ekeler and Allen are the clear-cut, top weapons on this team and Herbert treated them as such combining for 50% of his passing attempts in their first game as a trio since Week 2. If the Chargers are to have any success against New England, this dynamic duo will most definitely be a major part of the game plan. 

Allen and Ekeler are elite weapons at their respective weapons and Herbert is just getting comfortable having them both in the lineup. These two could easily combine for 30 targets and 2+ touchdowns. 

JT: My triple stack of the week comes out of Lambeau Field with Aaron Rodgers ($6,800), Davante Adams ($9,000), and Robert Tonyan ($3,700).  This isn’t exactly a “discount double-check” type stack, however, I think they are well worth the premium that you will pay.  

Rodgers is revitalized this season after his club shockingly decided to draft a quarterback with their first round pick.  He is playing at an MVP caliber level and has one of the top receivers in the game in Adams on the outside.  Is there really much more I need to say for a Rodgers and Adams stack?

Where it gets interesting is the addition of Robert Tonyan for $3,700 at the TE position. Tonyan has become a critical option in the red zone attack for the Packers, notching 7 touchdowns thus far.  Rodgers and Tonyan have connected for touchdowns in two straight weeks, and I expect the duo to make it three this week. At $3,700 with a projected 4.3% ownership, Tonyan was a real competitor for my “value of the week” recommendation below. 

Values of the Week

Tino’s Value of the Week: I believe this is the highest-priced “value” we have ever recommended, but I am going with Austin Ekeler at $7,100 as my value of the week.  This man received SIXTEEN targets in his return to action, to go along with 14 carries. He scored 23.9 fantasy points and did not even score a touchdown.  If he continues to receive 10-12 targets a game, Ekeler is looking at perhaps the highest floor in all of fantasy football.  What happens if he gets in the endzone a few times? Whoever played him will win money…. That is what will happen.  Justin Herbert is the best thing to happen to Ekeler’s value since the Chargers decided to move on from Melvin Gordon.  His ability to put the offense in scoring positions while also checking down to Ekeler has created a situation where Ekeler could realistically be the fantasy playoffs MVP. 

This type of floor paired with an equally high ceiling should cost DFS players north of $8,000.  I typically look for players who are south of 5% projected ownership as my value of the week, but I was shocked to see Ekeler’s price so low going into this week and it could not be ignored. Take advantage of the reasonable price while you still can and take the Ekeler chalk.

KB’s Value of the Week: And now to my value of the week. Typically when looking for a ‘value’ I’m looking for a player in a juicy matchup with low projected ownership. That player this week is Bears WR  Darnell Mooney ($3,400 at 2.4%). If the Bears had any semblance of an offense this would be a no-brainer pick, but with the struggles at QB I think many DFS players are scared off (for good reason I might add). But despite being the number 2 receiver on his team, Mooney has still been targeted 65 times this season. While the quality of targets is probably amongst the lowest in the NFL, Mooney gets to face the 9th easiest defense against fantasy WR’s. Mooney shouldn’t need too many opportunities to break a big play against the porous Lions defense. 

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