Week 9 was a pain in the ass. Sure you can ride the hot hand of Dalvin Cook which is great but when you lose guys like David Johnson or Justin Jackson not even two quarters into the game it gets very tilting. The Bills/Seahawks game gave us the expected shootout and Jerry Jeudy went off.
Make sure to tune into The Fantasy Tailgate every Sunday at 11 AM EST for last-minute advice as a lot happens between writing this now and Sunday morning.
Anyways, onto the DraftKings NFL Week 10 Picks, Sleepers.
Let’s ride.
QUARTERBACKS:
- Kyler Murray ($8,000)
- He’s playing on a completely different level right now, and is featured in the highest projected scoring game of the slate. He’s been a touchdown machine, and has become the preferred goal line option. Everything runs through him, and he’s slated for a bounce-back game after a tough loss to Miami at home. His rushing upside just offers so much more than any other QB.
- Jared Goff ($6,500)
- Once John Brown was confirmed to play, I made the switch to Josh Allen against the Seahawks and he did not disappoint. Seattle is the team you want to target when looking at QBs and WRs, so Goff and the Rams off of a bye looks very appealing. I’m not a huge Goff guy, but he’s got weapons, McVay game planning ahead an extra week, and a horrific Seahawks secondary only helps.
- Drew Lock ($5,500)
- One of my bigger regrets last week was siding with Carr over Lock for my cheap QB option. Lock finally surpassed 300 yards playing catchup against the Falcons and had a massive day aided by 10 additional points on the ground. Between Jeudy, Patrick and Hamler; he’s got three solid options to work with, and now going to play Vegas on the turf presents another quality matchup for Lock and Denver’s offense.
RUNNING BACKS:
- Aaron Jones ($7,100)
- He was supposed to be eased into Green Bay’s offense playing a limited role on Thursday night coming off a multiple-week calf injury. Instead, the Packers gave him the ball seemingly every touch of their first drive, and he finished the night with 20 touches. If it wasn’t a blowout, he would have played much more in the second half. But now Jones looks very healthy and welcomes a terrible Jaguars defense to Lambeau.
- James Robinson ($6,600)
- On the flip side, Robinson was fed often with new QB Jake Luton under center. The rookie went for 25 carries for 99 yards and a score — just a yard shy of hitting the bonus. His usage should stay very high for the Jags offense against a bad Packers run defense. Hopefully, Luton considers throwing him the ball out of the backfield as his receiving numbers took a big hit from his Minshew days.
- Chase Edmonds ($6,300)
- The usage without Kenyan Drake is everything Edmonds owners have wanted. However, the results were far from what his owners expected, totaling 70 yards on 25 carries. Tough production, but Miami has been sneaky good on defense. The Bills present a much better opportunity, you just have to hope that Kyler doesn’t vulture all the goal line carries from Edmonds.
- Duke Johnson ($5,000)
- Once David Johnson went down with his concussion, Duke became to bell-cow back benefitting from Houston’s tendency to feed their RB1 a lot of work. Should Duke be the lead back once again facing the Browns, his 20ish touch range looks really good settled in a high scoring offense.
- JD McKissic ($4,900)
- Alex Smith has a new favorite toy and that happens to be JD McKissic out of the backfield. He secured 14 targets last week while heavily out-snapping Antonio Gibson in the process. McKissic has a strong grasp on the third-down role and is now working his way towards every down territory against a defense that stinks against running backs.
- Mike Davis ($4,000)
- Davis might break ownership records this week based on his price tag. Yes, Christian McCaffrey returned and made Davis practically irrelevant playing only 26 snaps. But just as fast as he came back, CMC has left us again with a shoulder injury. The Tampa Bay matchup is tough. But, you’re not going to fade an every-down back at this price, even if the 2000 Ravens defense was out there.
WIDE RECEIVERS:
- Davante Adams ($9,000)
- Adams has double-digit targets in every full game he’s played. He’s a clear cut WR1 target hog. He’s playing like the best wide receiver in the NFL by far and now he faces a cake matchup against the Jags. Not to mention, Adams is averaging 38 DK points over his last three games. What is not to love about Adams’ Week 10 outlook? If Allen Lazard suits up at $4,000 he’s another play in this offense.
- Keenan Allen ($7,100)
- Keenan Allen is the poster child of target hog status with the rookie calling the shots. Allen has one of the highest floors at the position, to match a pretty high ceiling when he has a nose for the end zone. Assuming he stays in the slot and avoids Xavien Howard, Allen should have no issue continuing his success.
- Cooper Kupp ($6,900)
- Did you know in Week 8 that Kupp had 20 targets against the Dolphins? 20! I feel like it’s not being talked about enough. Regardless, the Rams face Seattle this week, which as you know is a defense we love to stream against in DFS. I love Kupp in this matchup a lot more than Woods thanks to his much higher ADOT, despite the fact that Woods somehow always gets these touchdown carries at the goal line. Both are fine plays, to be honest, but I’d much rather have the PPR wizard Kupp. Josh Reynolds at $3,500 could make a great pivot/tournament play.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,100)
- Despite all the mouths to feed in Pittsburgh, JuJu is slowly progressing in the offense. He just recorded a season-high in receiving yards against Dallas while muscling in a touchdown. He currently has the best matchup among the Pittsburgh receivers according to PFF, and I can’t see the Bengals really slowing him down in a rivalry game.
- Christian Kirk ($5,700)
- Don’t look now but Kirk has put up three straight 20+ point performances. In a likely shootout coming with Buffalo, I’ll take Kirk and his secondary matchup over Hopkins and his matchup with Tre’Davious White, who did a fine job on DK Metcalf last week.
- Curtis Samuel ($4,900)
- Curtis Samuel has been on absolute fire as of late as the Panthers have finally figured out he can indeed be a weapon in their offense. He’s jumped DJ Moore on the depth chart while being used all over the field. With CMC out this week, Samuel should be asked to play a larger role against the Bucs.
TIGHT ENDS:
- TJ Hockenson ($5,100)
- Hockenson was in last week’s article until Stafford was put on the COVID list, so I had to make a switch. Then Stafford was ruled active at the last minute so Hockenson was right back in play and operating at his consistently high level. One of the few reliable players at the position, he’ll again benefit from increased targets due to Golladay’s absence.
- Austin Hooper ($3,900)
- Returning from his appendectomy surgery, Hooper looks to keep his hot hand going for the Browns offense. Beckham’s injury opens more targets for the offense and Rashad Higgins hasn’t fully grasped at that opportunity. While Landry should be the 1A focus of Baker, Hooper makes a solid option B, especially against a bad Texans defense.
- Gerald Everett ($3,100)
- While Everett is playing nearly the same amount of snaps as Tyler Higbee, Everett is leading the way in the number of routes ran out of the two. With Seattle up next, it’s a prime matchup for a super cheap tight end that does well in the red zone.
DST:
- New Orleans Saints D/ST ($3,000)
- We just watched the Saints manhandle Tampa Bay on Sunday night, and now they come back to the dome to face Nick Mullens and the injury-plagued 49ers offense.
- Miami Dolphins D/ST ($2,800)
- Miami has been amazing on defense and had a hot streak of defensive/special teams scores. While going against Justin Herbert isn’t ideal, the Dolphins have been too hot to remove from consideration this week.
- Detroit Lions D/ST ($2,600)
- I think their defense is gross, but they are cheap, playing at home, and face an Alex Smith led Washington who aside from Terry McLaurin present no dangerous threats. They’ll be my punt defense of the week.
