2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 9 Picks, Sleepers - Roto Street Journal
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2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 9 Picks, Sleepers

DraftKings NFL Week 8 was full of ups and downs. For as great as the Dalvin Cook smash was, Kareem Hunt flopped to a dud. Davante Adams and Brandon Aiyuk hit but AJ Green was in fact a pile of dust. If you had the balls to play Miami’s defense, kudos to you, you probably won a handful of money.

Either way, make sure to tune into The Fantasy Tailgate every Sunday at 11 AM EST for last-minute advice as a lot happens between writing this now and Sunday morning.

Anyways, onto the DraftKings NFL Week 9 Picks, Sleepers.

Let’s ride.

QUARTERBACKS:

Seahawks' Russell Wilson bounces back, continues record pace: 'Russ for MVP train is back on the track' | The Seattle Times

  • Russell Wilson ($7,600)
    • The MVP frontrunner finds himself in the highest projected scoring game on this slate. While Josh Allen is currently $600 cheaper, Wilson has performed vastly better as of late and should have all of his weapons on hand. Should John Brown suit up I’d probably have Josh Allen ($7,000) listed in this top spot as Allen has struggled with Brown playing at less than 100 percent. With DK Metcalf likely to be shadowed by Tre’Davious White, Tyler Lockett ($6,800) becomes my favorite stack with Wilson.
  • Justin Herbert ($6,800)
    • The rookie is playing lights out right now. Scoring 20-plus DK points in practically every game this year (season-low of 19.7) Herbert has been as consistent as they come while seeing his touchdown numbers take a huge bump over the last month. This week’s game with Las Vegas presents a likely high scoring affair that should give you a MINIMUM of 20 points at the position. Keenan Allen at $7,000 is my favorite option to stack with Herbert here.
  • Derek Carr ($5,700)
    • I know, he sucked last week but a lot of that had to do with the weather in Cleveland where it was nearly impossible to throw the ball due to high wind speeds. This week he gets to play in the brand new dome in a controlled climate while facing a leaky defense that is approaching Falcons’ levels of blowing games. I would expect a solid bounce-back game from Carr here against the Chargers defense, which is ranked 31st in points allowed to opposing QBs. Best stack candidates would be Darren Waller ($5,800) or Henry Ruggs ($4,900).

RUNNING BACKS:

Joe Starkey: James Conner's back, proving 2018 was no fluke | Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

  • Dalvin Cook ($8,200)
    • It can be difficult to play someone right off of a monster game, but in the case of Cook, the Vikings offense performs so much better when they feature Cook and establish him early instead of relying on Cousins to bring them back in a game. Minnesota is currently a home favorite over the Lions, who are currently giving up the most points to opposing RBs. It just seems like another smash spot to ride Dalvin. Maybe not another 50 point game but in that 20-30 region.
  • James Robinson ($7,000)
    • While his dominating Week 7 performance is something great to work off of, the turn to a new QB in Jacksonville is a bit worrisome. While the offense will likely take a step back, it would make sense for the Jaguars to rely more on Robinson and the ground game to carry the team. Houston’s defense presents a minimal threat, so a high volume day from Robinson would keep him on that RB1 pace.
  • James Conner ($6,900)
    • The Cowboys run defense has been so poor averaging an absurd ypc to opposing RBs. Teams have been able to run on them at will, and with the undefeated Steelers coming to Jerry World, Pittsburgh should find a plus game script for Conner and the run game. His touchdown numbers have been solid, but it’s reaching that 100-yard bonus plateau that would help Conner get to that elite level in Week 9.
  • David Johnson ($5,600)
    • DJ has yet to record a 20-plus point game so far this season, and I’ve put him in numerous articles thinking it could finally be the week. But cmon, it’s Jacksonville! The Jaguars have one of the worst defenses in the entire NFL, and Johnson is still operating as a bell cow in Houston. Any RB that’s getting around 15 carries and 3-4 receptions against a Jacksonville defense should be a very good play.
  • Justin Jackson ($4,900)
    • With Austin Ekeler still shelved, Jackson has started to separate himself from the RB committee in Los Angeles. He dominated snaps over both Joshua Kelley and Troymaine Pope while getting 20 touches against Denver. Should this snap rate and usage keep up against the Raiders (a defense weak to opposing RBs) then Jackson makes for solid value at his salary.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Major energy all day!': Tracking Stefon Diggs' every move in the Bills' opener – The Athletic

  • Stefon Diggs ($7,400)
    • It’s going to be hard for me to pass on Diggs this week with the Seattle secondary coming to town. The Seahawks defense has given up the most yards per game and just bleed points to opposing passing attacks. With John Brown still struggling with knee issues, Diggs should be in line for a massive target share, a great shot to a score, and hitting the 100-yard bonus. Points galore in this matchup with not a ton of quality mouths to feed in Buffalo.
  • Allen Robinson ($6,900)
    • There are so many quality WRs in this price area I am targeting. Tyreek, Julio, Keenan, and Lockett; it’s a great range. Allen Robinson really sticks out to me on the road in Tennessee. The Bears are road dogs, which helps a passing game script, and it’s clear that Robinson is the alpha WR1 for Chicago. The Titans defense has been getting picked apart as of late, most recently by Burrow and the Bengals. Robinson’s high ceiling with this great matchup is what stands out to me.
  • Marquise Brown ($6,000)
    • Here’s a squeaky wheel narrative after his disappointing season thus far. Brown was pretty vocal about his lack of usage in Baltimore’s offense and Lamar’s inability to connect with him down the field. His air yard numbers have been very good which should put him in line for success but he just hasn’t been able to capitalize on those and produce as a true WR1. Generally, when you find a stud receiver that’s unhappy with his numbers he gets targeted a lot more in the upcoming game.
  • Diontae Johnson ($5,000)
    • Diontae Johnson has been dealing with a lot of injuries that have forced him to leave earlier in a handful of games. In games where he remains healthy though, he’s been exploding in Pittsburgh’s offense. His target share is insane when healthy, and now he gets a Dallas defense that has been Swiss cheese in all aspects. It’s a major risk based on his injury history, but the ceiling is so high given the trip to Dallas this week.
  • Jerry Jeudy ($4,700)
    • After being relatively quiet, Jeudy saw a bump in his usage last week while simultaneously leaving room for improvement moving forward. Jeudy’s 10 targets are the most inviting stat from last week showing plus usage for a team playing catchup. With Denver slated to play in Atlanta this week, we’d expect a similar game script against a defense that’s been very generous giving up points this year. His floor is low, but the ceiling with double-digit targets again could be great for a sub 5k guy.

TIGHT ENDS:

  • Darren Waller ($5,800)
    • This spot belonged to TJ Hockenson until Matthew Stafford was just placed on the COVID-19 list. With Chase Daniel likely to get the start at QB, I’m staying far away and will shift focus to Waller. He’s been living in the high 5k range this year while dominating target share in Las Vegas’ offense. They face the Chargers this week who have bled points on defense and surrendered so many leads to opponents playing catch up.
  • Hayden Hurst ($4,100)
    • Hurst has seen a slight uptick in his usage and target share over the course of the last few games, which was helped by the Ridley injury on TNF. Hurst has taken over that third option slot, and the possibility of Ridley either being hampered or ruled out would greatly help Hurst’s value.
  • Logan Thomas ($3,700)
    • I personally have sworn off playing Logan Thomas in Daily for 2020. If YOU want to play him though, I could potentially see the upside of it. He’ll get his four targets per week, and his touchdown numbers have jumped over the last two games. With Terry McLaurin likely to be shadowed by James Bradberry, Kyle Allen will often have to look elsewhere giving a higher target share to Thomas.

DST:

  • Pittsburgh Steelers ($4,900)
    • Arguably the best defense in the NFL this year gets to face either Garrett Gilbert or Cooper Rush. The Steelers bring pressure at an unprecedented amount, meaning plenty of sacks and turnovers are likely to come. I only wish they had stuck with Ben DiNucci for one more week so the Steelers defense could have gone nuts with him.
  • Arizona Cardinals ($2,900)
    • The Cardinals are at home this week welcoming Tua Tagovailoa and Miami. Miami’s defense and special teams got them up early last week resulting in Tua not having to throw the ball at all. He’s still unproven on the big stage, and now goes on the road while missing his RB1 in Myles Gaskin.
  • Atlanta Falcons ($2,500)
    • My cheap Hail Mary defense of the week. The Falcons have done a better job at tightening their defense and allowing less points from Weeks 5-8 than they were averaging in Weeks 1-4. They’re showing signs of progress and now have the Broncos coming into town. Drew Lock and Denver are not an offense I’m too worried about and Lock has shown to sometimes be turnover happy trying to make too much happen.

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