2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 7 Stacks & Value Picks - Roto Street Journal
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2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 7 Stacks & Value Picks

Welcome back to Week 7 of our season long DFS battle. 

Week 6 Recap: Both of the boys “Values of the Week” hit last week, with Kendall’s pick of Ronald Jones (29.1 points) and Tino’s pick of Tee Higgins (21.7 points). Both lineups were solid, but nothing spectacular like some of our week 2-4 lineups.  The boys are hoping to get back into the upper echelon section of the “Milly Maker” this week with the lineups below.

Without further ado, here are our Week 7 lineups:

Kendall’s Lineup Tino’s Lineup
QB Aaron Rodgers, $7,000 Justin Herbert, $6,400
RB Aaron Jones, $7.200 Clyde Edwards-Helaire, $6,100
RB David Johnson, $5,300 Justin Jackson, $4,900
WR Davante Adams, $7,900 DK Metcalf, $7,200
WR A.J. Brown, $6,300 Keenan Allen, $6,200
WR Tyler Boyd, $5,400 Terry McLaurin, $5,800
TE Austin Hooper, $4,000 Dalton Schultz, $3,900
Flex Diontae Johnson, $4,200 DJ Chark, $5,500
DST Washington Football Team, $2,500 Buccaneers, $3,700

Stacks of the Week

KB: This slate this week has plenty of juicy stacks that you can go with at the QB and WR positions. But rather than rave about a chalky stack such as Matthew Stafford and Kenny Golladay or Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, I’m going to throw out a cheap, low ownership play for you to consider. 

This week, my stack of the week is Antonio Gibson and the Washington Football Team Defense. If you’re like me, you’ve had shares of Gibson in your lineups all season long and you’re just waiting for the day that he finally breaks out so that you can say you were ‘early’ on him. After a difficult week 6, is there going to be a better chance for Gibson to breakout than against the Dallas Cowboys? We saw what a struggling Kenyan Drake was able to do against Dallas last Monday Night and I think it could be more of the same for Gibson this week. The Cowboys have allowed the second most rushing yards this season (818 yards) and tied for second most rushing TDs (7) to the RB position. At only $5,000 DK, Gibson is a cheap option at RB that will allow you to squeeze in some higher profile WR’s. 

Now, let’s talk about the Washington Football Team’s defense. Despite mostly negative game scripts this season, Washington’s defense has sacked the QB the seventh most times in the NFL (16 sacks). Prior to Dak Prescott’s gruesome ankle injury, the Cowboys offense was soaring and all of their offensive options were viable DFS options week in and week out. I wouldn’t DARE start a defense against the Cowboys because of how many weapons they have on the offensive side of the ball. What we couldn’t see is that Dak was playing so well, that he was covering many of the deficiencies this team had, particularly on the offensive line. Just two years ago, this offensive line was this team’s strongest asset, but that is no longer the case with injuries to All-Pro’s Tyron Smith and Zack Martin. With a reshuffled offensive line and a still skittish Andy Dalton at QB, Washington’s DST could manage a handful of sacks and maybe a couple of turnovers in the lowest projected total of the slate. 

At a glance, this feels disgusting but remember what Adam Levitans’s article said about being contrarian when picking defenses? At 0.4% projected ownership, this is as contrarian you can get. 

Projected Ownership

Antonio Gibson ($5,000): 3.9%

Washington Football Team ($2,500): 0.4%

JT: My stack of the week is not the cheapest stack out there, but it feels like one with potential to absolutely smash if they connect.  I’m going with Mr. Unlimited Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett. I was tempted to go with Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs, but I’m worried about the Jets being able to score at all and what the second half will look like.

Even as president of the DK Metcalf truthers club, I decided to save the $600 difference between Lockett and Metcalf to spend elsewhere.  I think both are great options, but that the difference isn’t $600 worth.  

I expect Arizona to be able to put up points on the little legs of Kyler Murray, and for Russ to continue to have to pass the ball to win the game.  If this is the case, his elite short/mid range route runner (Lockett) should have himself a great day. Any given week Russ and Lockett/Metcalf could explode with fantasy points, and I think this week is a good bet to be one of those weeks. 

Projected Ownership

Russell Wilson: 8.2%

Tyler Lockett: 13.5%

DK Metcalf: 11.5%

Triple Stack of the Week

KB: My triple stack is probably the chalkiest of the slate but I think you’re going to want every piece of this stack.

Let me start with the Texans defense. Quarterbacks have thrown for the seventh most yards and tied for fourth most passing touchdowns against them this season. The Texans have also allowed the most DK points per game (33.7) to running backs this season not to mention the most yards and touchdowns rushing to running backs in the league. The Texans defense has allowed on average, over their last 3 games, 294 passing yards allowed and 166 rushing yards. This sounds like a recipe for fantasy goodness. All the fantasy options on Green Bay are in store for great games. 

Now let’s take a look at Green Bay. Prior to last week, Rodgers had thrown for 275 yards and 3 touchdowns in 3 of his previous 4 games. Aaron Rodgers and this Packers offense were hitting on all cylinders and that was without stud wide receiver Davante Adams for a couple of games. Aaron Jones is averaging over 5 YPC and has found the end zone 5 times. The matchup against the worst rushing defense in the NFL is a juicy one for Jones and he will be the most owned player of the slate. Davante Adams is one of the league’s best receivers with one of the league’s best quarterbacks throwing him the ball. This Texans defense has allowed huge fantasy games to the likes of AJ Brown, Adam Thielen, and Justin Jefferson in recent memory and Adams will have the targets and opportunity to smash in Week 7. 

The options to run it back on the other side are in abundance, but my favorite player to run it back with is David Johnson. Johnson doesn’t appear to have the ceiling, but this matchup against the Packer is a  juicy one. My value of the week last week, Ronald Jones II, had another 100 yard game and found his way into the endzone twice. Johnson is guaranteed about 20 opportunities in a matchup against one of the league’s worst defenses against RBs. As long as the Texans can keep this game close, Johnson should be worth his $5,300 price tag.

Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, Davante Adams

Projected Ownership

Aaron Rodgers ($7,000) : 10.1%

Aaron Jones ($7,200): 31.5%

Davante Adams ($7,900): 19.5%

David Johnson ($5,300): 5.3%

JT: My triple stack of the week comes right out of sunny San Diego Los Angeles with rookie rocket-arm Justin Herbert, Justin Jackson, and the sure-handed Keenan Allen.  

I was admittedly not a Justin Herbert “truther” when he came out of Oregon. I was 100% wrong.  His potential is enamoring and I’m excited to see what kind of NFL QB he develops into. I think he smashes in this spot against a porous Jacksonville defense who have given up the 8th most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Give me the budding talent of Herbert and the elite route running of Keenan Allen to connect all day against this pass defense.

The thing about Jacksonville’s defense is….. They are also bad against the run.  The Jags are 5th worst against opposing fantasy RB’s, and I think Justin Jackson is the RB to own in the LAC backfield.  In week 5 before the bye, he out-touched Joshua Kelley 21 to 12, with 5 of those touches being receptions. Even if his touches go down to 15 touches in this game, they will be valuable touches with opportunities to score.  At $4,900, it’s near impossible to beat the volume that Jackson should provide.

Run it back on the other side of the ball with Jacksonville’s top wideout DJ Chark. At $5,500, Chark is coming off a game in which he received 14 targets.  The Chargers defense has been decimated with injuries as of late, and I expect Minshew and Chark to be able to keep up with the scoring output of the Chargers.  If this game turns into a shootout like I think it could, expect the Chargers triple stack with Chark to be a juicy play.

Projected Ownership

Justin Herbert: 5.6%

Justin Jackson: 13%

Keenan Allen: 13.1%

DJ Chark: 4.8%

Values of the Week

Tino’s Value of the Week: Justin Jackson ($4,900)

I’ll keep it short and sweet because I touched on Justin Jackson in my triple stack of the week.  

Why do I like JJ? 

  1. I believe that he is an underrated talent and clearly the best healthy back in LA.
  2. Volume. Had 15 carries and 5 receptions in week 5 before the bye. 
  3. Touchdown upside. Jacksonville is allowing 143.8 rushing yards per game, and have allowed 28+ points in 5 of their 6 games this season.  

Volume + Bad Defenses = Fantasy Points

Projected Ownership

Justin Jackson: 13%

KB’s Value of the Week: It’s been a frustrating season for Diontae Johnson truthers such as myself. Johnson got off to an awesome start this season, demanding 23 targets in two games but he got hurt early in back to back games forcing him out of the game with two dud performances. Many people have been turned off of Johnson because of the emergence of Chase Claypool. JuJu Smith-Schuster has been phased out of this offense and I think Claypool and Johnson are the WRs to own in this offense. Johnson’s matchup against the 4th worst defense against fantasy WRs in conjunction with his disrespectful $4,200 price makes him a borderline free square in my opinion. It won’t take much for Johnson to hit value 

Projected Ownership

Diontae Johnson ($4,200): 4.7%

Author

  • Hockey player turned fantasy football addict. Hoarder of running backs. Jets fan whose childhood was ruined by Tom Brady.

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