2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 6 Stacks & Value Picks - Roto Street Journal
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2020 Daily Fantasy Football: DraftKings NFL Week 6 Stacks & Value Picks

Welcome back to Week 6 of our season-long DFS battle. 

Week 5 Recap:  The boys had their first hiccup of the season in week 5.  Not our lineups… Just our ability to get them to you in a timely fashion.  The Covid rescheduling every 45 minutes changed our lineups, stacks, and triple stacks several times until it was basically too late to give anyone any lineup advice.  Shoutout to @larry_smiley for calling us out on Twitter and holding us accountable.  Appreciate the love and we hope to win you some money the rest of this year.

Without further ado, here are our Week 6 lineups:

Kendall’s Lineup Tino’s Lineup
QB Matthew Stafford, $6,300 Ryan Fitzpatrick, $5,900
RB James Robinson, $6,800 Derrick Henry, $7,300
RB Jonathan Taylor, $6,400 Myles Gaskin, $5,400
WR Kenny Golladay, $6,200 DeVante Parker, $6,300
WR A.J. Brown, $5,600 Robby Anderson, $6,300
WR Laviska Shenault, $5,200 Tee Higgins, $4,700
TE Eric Ebron, $4,100 Austin Hooper, $3,900
Flex Ronald Jones II, $6,000 James Robinson, $6,800
DST Washington, $3,300 Titans, $2,800

Stacks of the Week

KB: If you can afford to pay up for a defense I love the stacking potential of the Colts DST ($4,000) and Jonathan Taylor ($6,400). The Bengals offensive line has been BAD this season. They have allowed the most sacks per game (4.4) and the Colts defense has a +2.5 turnover margin at home. I think the Colts will dominate this game defensively and milk the clock with long drives, ultimately feeding Jonathan Taylor 20+ carries. The Bengals have allowed the second-most rushing yards this season and Taylor could easily rush for over 100 yards and a couple of touchdowns in this matchup. 

Projected Ownership

Jonathan Taylor ($6,400) : 11.9%

Colts DST ($4,000) : 12.0%

JT:  If the Atlanta and Minnesota game is played this weekend (Thanks, Atlanta), then I love the stack of Kirk Cousins and Adam Thielen. Kendall and I both loved Thielen coming into the year, but he has exceeded even our expectations as the PPR WR 2 through five games. I expect the Dan Quinn-less Falcon’s offense to rebound from last week’s dud performance, and for Minnesota to have to continue to throw late into the game.  If this is the case, Thielen will feast as he has all year.  Atlanta’s defense is allowing the 2nd most pass yards per game to opposing QBs, and Minnesota’s passing offense funnels through undrafted free agent Thielen. You could even triple stack the two with rookie Justin Jefferson if you wanted to double down on a Cousins monster game. Either way, if Atlanta can score points then I expect Cousins and Thielen to follow suit.

Projected Ownership

Kirk Cousins ($6,100): 4.7%

Adam Thielen ($7,300): 13.4%

Justin Jefferson ($6,000): 8.6%

Triple Stack of the Week

KB: I’m attacking one of the highest projected point totals of the week in the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Detroit Lions. At an implied point total of 55 points, this game should be FILLED with juicy fantasy options. You can attack either side in this matchup as both teams have suspect defenses, but I’m going to attack the Jacksonville defense with the combination of Matthew Stafford ($6,300) and Kenny Golladay ($7,200). 

The Lions eased Golladay back into action and he has not disappointed so far this season. He’s had 15 targets his first two games back and managed a touchdown in each. Coming off of a bye week, Golladay should be fully back to 100%  and ready to dominate against this Jaguars defense that has allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing WRs (31.3 DK pts/g). Stafford should be in a good spot to have a big game as well. Stafford hasn’t set the world on fire this season, but I don’t think it’s a coincidence that his best two games of the season have come in the two games that Golladay was inserted back into the starting lineup. Jacksonville has given up the fifth-most yards and touchdowns, and the sixth most DK points per game to opposing QBs. 

For the third leg of the stack, you can go a few different directions. Take your shot on Marvin Jones (who we’ve seen have MASSIVE games in the past), TJ Hockenson, or D’Andre Swift. All three of these guys hold a lot of risk as their usage and target share has been pretty inconsistent this year, but I think Jones holds the highest upside and would be my pick in large tournaments such as the Milly Maker. 

On the other side, James Robinson is an excellent option if you’d like to run it back with a Jaguar. His usage has been steady and the work he gets in the passing game makes him game script proof. With D.J Chark banged up again, Robinson could see another 5+ target game in a favorable matchup against a Detroit Lions defense that has given up the fourth-most points to opposing running backs so far this season (33.3 DK pts/g). 

Projected Ownership

Matthew Stafford ($6,300) : 9.0%

Kenny Golladay ($6,200) : 16.6%

Marvin Jones Jr. ($5,100): 9.9%

TJ Hockenson ($5,300) : 6.0%

James Robinson ($6,800) : 12.8%

JT:  My triple stack of the week comes from South Beach, with the ageless wonder Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,900), Myles Gaskin ($5,400), and DeVante Parker ($6,300). Matched up against a putrid Jets lineup who are resembling a .500 MAAC team, I expect Fitzpatrick to carve up the Jets secondary.  

I cannot comprehend why these players aren’t projected to be owned in vastly larger amounts than they currently are.  All of these players fall below the 9% projected ownership rate on PFF, Fitzpatrick is sitting below 5%. The names aren’t flashy, but the production is concrete. 

Fitzpatrick is a lock in my mind to torch this defense, and the tough part for me is picking which auxiliary weapons I want to put in my lineup.  I’m almost tempted to stack Mike Gesicki with this triple stack and make it a quadruple stack, but Levitan’s Milly Maker Bible advises to keep stacks to an optimal QB and 2 teammates. 

With that being said, I like the volume and predictability that Gaskin provides out of the backfield. He is averaging 16 carries in his past 3 games, with a consistent flow of almost 5 targets per game as well. He is due for some positive touchdown regression with only 1 on the year, and the Jets are just the remedy for that positive regression. I expect some goalline carries and a steady workload both on the ground and through the air. He’s a discount bell-cow who I expect to be priced over 6k next week once he torches the Jets.

I’m not playing him in the Milly Maker, but Jamison Crowder is a very strong head-to-head gameplay on the other side of the ball.  He is priced at $6,100, and he proved last week that Joe Flacco under center would not hinder his production.  He is averaging over 7 catches per game this year, and if the Jets have any chance of moving the ball it will be in Crowder’s hands.  He is a high floor, moderate ceiling play that could turn out to be great if he finds his way into the endzone as he has in 2 of his last 3 games.

Projected Ownership

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,900): 4.2%

Myles Gaskin ($5,400): 9.0%

DeVante Parker ($6,300): 7.9%

Mike Gesicki ($5,500): 5.4%

Jamison Crowder ($6,100): 5.0%

Values of the Week

KB’s Value of the Week: My value of the week is strictly a strategic play. It doesn’t feel good but the numbers do not lie. Firstly, the Buccaneers vs. Packers game has the highest implied point total of the slate at 56 total points. Secondly, the Packers have allowed the second-most DK points per game to the running back position this season. They also rank in the top 10 in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns to the running back position. 

Why is this promising? Well Ronald Jones II has been targeted 18 times the last 3 games and has eclipsed over 100 yards rushing in each of the last two games. Jones II has also had some bad luck. Hopefully, we don’t get two, one-yard receiving touchdowns from Mike Evans and maybe a little love for Ronald this week. 

This is all sounds great but at $6,000 that’s not really considered a ‘value’. Well no… not really but where the value comes in is at his projected ownership. At only 3.6%, while Ronald Jones isn’t the sexy pick, he could prove to be the difference in your lineup. 

Projected Ownership

Ronald Jones II ($6,000): 3.6%

Tino’s Value of the Week: My value of the week is Cincinnati’s most impressive rookie of these past few weeks. Nope… it isn’t Joe Burrow… it’s wideout Tee Higgins.  Priced at $4,700, Higgins has a chance to step into an increased role left by the ghost of AJ Green and explode onto the scene. I tried my best to warn you in the offseason that AJ Green was washed, and he turned out to be an even worse pick than I had imagined.  

I expect the biggest beneficiary of AJ Green’s mini-breakdown to be Higgins. He showed in week 3 that he could provide juicy upside is included in the game plan, and I’m predicting a full-blown coming out party for Tee Higgins this week.  The Colt’s defense is stout, but if Cincinnati is trailing in this game they will have to throw down the field. At only 2.9% ownership, I’m calling my shot a little bit here. I trust the talent that Higgins possesses, and if the opportunity follows as I expect it to, you could have a juicy game here at only $4,700.

Projected Ownership

Tee Higgins ($4,700): $2.9%

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