Week 10 was a rough one! If that insane monsoon doesn’t roll through Foxborough like a scene out of a Buffalo Wild Wings commercial, we’re likely looking at an 0-3 day on Sunday. Thankfully, it was near impossible to see anything as that rain was coming down which forced Lamar Jackson to scramble for eight yards and go over his 53.5 rushing yards total. God bless you Lamar Jackson. BIG TRUSS! With that being said, I still went 1-2 last week which is certainly not going to cut it. So, I got right back into the lab and these are the picks that I came up with.
1.Giovanni Bernard over 47.5 rushing yards
For my first pick, I’m focusing in on the game that everyone is dying to see: Cincinnati Bengals at the Washington Football Team. Just yesterday, Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor announced that starting running back Joe Mixon would be out for this Sunday’s game against the Washington Football Team. It was then announced this morning that Mixon would be going on injured reserve, so he’ll be sidelined for at least three weeks. The Bengals will turn to Giovanni Bernard to carry the load against a Washington defense who has allowed 126 rushing yards per game to opposing backs. Washington is by no means soft against the run, but they have allowed an opponent to rush for at least 50 yards in all but two of their games this year. I’m looking for this trend to continue as I am taking Giovanni Bernard to rush for over 47.5 yards(-112).
You may look at Bernard’s game log this year and see that in two of his three starts, he only rushed for 37 and 30 yards. This is true; however, those two starts came against two top ten rushing defenses in the Browns and Steelers. In his only other start this year, Bernard rushed for 62 yards on 15 carries against a Titans defense who have surprisingly only given up 120.7 yards per game. Take this as you may. And yes, I know that the Bengals offensive line is atrocious, but I still LOVE Bernard to surpass this total with ease. With D ’Andre Swift now ruled out, it looks like the Wolf has Bernard ranked as his RB15 this Sunday so make sure to take advantage of this relatively low total.
2. Keenan Allen over 7.5 receptions
When it comes to the afternoon slate, I have my eyes set on another gorgeous matchup as the 0-9 New York Jets are headed out west to take on the 2-7 San Die…. Los Angeles Chargers. The 2020 New York Jets are without a doubt one of the worst teams ever to step on the field in the National Football League and that is why we have to cherish betting against them while we can. So while I love the Chargers every which way in this game, I will only be taking Keenan Allen to haul in over 7.5 receptions (+110).
Keenan Allen has quickly become Justin Herbert’s favorite target as he is being targeted an average of 10.3 times per game, the second highest in the NFL. Eight receptions is going to be a lot to ask of most receivers; however, Allen has had at least eight catches in five of his nine games this year. In fact, Before the Chargers took on a stout Dolphins defense last week, Allen had pulled in nine catches in three straight games. The Wolf has Allen as his WR5 this week as he’ll line up against a Jets secondary that has allowed the eighth most pass completions in the NFL this season. After several weeks of heartbreaking losses, the Chargers are finally going to pick up a win easily as Herbert and Allen are going to torch this miserable Jets team.
3.Clyde Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD scorer
We wrap up the week in Sin City as the Kansas City Chiefs visit my Las Vegas Raiders for Sunday Night Football. I’m going to call my shot right now and predict that this game will be one of those instant SNF classics like Arizona/Seattle a couple weeks ago. Now that I said that, the Chiefs will probably win by three scores.
Even so, this game is sure to be interesting as there has been tons of drama leading up to it. All week we’ve been hearing about how Andy Reid and the Chiefs were pissed off that the Raiders took a victory lap around Arrowhead after the Raiders handed the Chiefs their only loss of the season in Week 5. If you ask me, Andy Reid just made a fuss about nothing because his team is so good they’re getting bored in the regular season. On the other side, the Raiders have been dealing with yet another instance of COVID-19 as Clelin Ferrell has been sidelined with the virus while seven Raiders defensive players were also stuck on the COVID-19 list all week. These players have been activated; however, they did just miss an entire week of practice. So, in a game that I’ve been absolutely dreading all week, I’m going to do a little something different and take Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score a TD (-106).
The Wolf has Edwards-Helaire as RB13 this week despite the fact that he has certainly taken a step back in production since Le’Veon Bell joined the Chiefs in Week 7. However, in the three games since Bell joined the backfield, Edwards-Helaire has managed to get in to the end zone twice. Yes, I know that Edwards-Helaire only has three TDs the entire season, but the Raiders have given up the sixth most rushing TDs this season allowing 13. In a game with a point total of 57, I’m confident that there will be plenty of touchdowns to go around. Edwards-Helaire will definitely have his chance to score as he leads the Chiefs in red zone carries with 22 attempts. Not only does the rookie running back lead the Chiefs in red zone carries, but he is also third in red zone targets with 9. I hate to make this pick as it means the Raiders will probably lose, but I can’t pass up on such beautiful odds. Hammer, hammer, hammer Clyde Edwards-Helaire to score a TD!
Again, you can find all these odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. Good luck everybody! Let’s win some money! And, as always, bet responsibly!
