Inept doesn’t begin to describe just how bad the Buffalo Bills were to open 2018. The team mustered 3 hapless points, 10 overall first downs, and just 153 total yards while getting absolutely pummeled by the Baltimore Ravens. LeSean McCoy sank with this burning ship, taking 7 carries for 22 yards while adding one reception for -1 yards. Though the matchup was tough and the Bills can’t be this bad every week, McCoy and the rest of this offense seem bound to underwhelm even more than the already-low expectations.
As a high-mileage 30 year old, on a bad offense, behind a depleted offensive line, with piles of nagging injuries racked up over the years, McCoy entered 2018 with plenty of red flags. Still, many took the plunge at his Round 4+ ADP, as he still looked plenty shifty in 2017 and averaged the second most RB touches per game behind only Le’Veon Bell.
Unfortunately, this is a glaring reminder that fantasy value does NOT boil down to just “Individual Talent” and “Usage,” as so many experts would lead you to believe. Rather, “Coaching Scheme,” “Surrounding Talent,” “Risk,” and “Upside” all need to be factored in, and McCoy could not grade any poorer in these categories.
While injury is the only way McCoy’s value can get any lower, no one can confidently recommend him as a “Buy Low.” Perhaps the strong-armed Josh Allen will spark a hint of life into this offense, so if you can acquire him for a bag of chips, go for it. Otherwise, keep McCoy on the bench until we see any reason to play him.