Welcome back to Fanduel Picks Week 11, your one-stop-shop for the best FanDuel player picks. While the top end talent failed us in Week 10 (I am looking at you Le’Veon Bell, Leonard Fournette and Rob Gronkowski), Ben Roethlisberger and, most importantly, Robert Woods (33.1 FanDuel points, 6.1% ownership) saved the day for me, helping me cash in in half of my lineups. One day everything will come together and I’ll win another league. Until then, I’ll keep the mediocre cash flow stream coming and avoid the negative balance like the plague. With bye week hell(s) basically over and the Ezekiel Elliott situation resolved (right…), we turn our attention to the Week 11 slate featuring some veryyyyyy delicious quarterback options. As a note, these picks are based on Sunday only leagues, so players on Thursday and Monday night will be ignored, as well as London games.
- Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots ($8,600) – The GOAT. The ageless wonder. The greatest quarterback of all time. Tom Brady continues to defy the laws of science and all the canons of religious scripture. Brady ranks first in the NFL in passing yards per game and second in the league in QB Rating and passing touchdowns. And he is 40. This week both the Patriots and Raiders travel to Mexico City and square off in a projected shootout (52 points over/under) where the Patriots have the second highest implied team total of the week at 29.25 points. If Tyrod Taylor can throw for over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Raiders putrid defense, Tom could surpass 700 yards and 7 touchdowns. With him, anything is possible.
- Derek Carr, QB, Oakland Raiders ($8,000) – Opposing the GOAT, Derek Carr gets to take a bite of a Patriots defense that, while playing better, still allows the most passing yards per game and second most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. You saw the total above, and the Pats project as a 6.5 points favorite, so Carr and Company should throw all over an improving, but still somewhat shaky, and always leaky, New England secondary.
- Eli Manning, QB, New York Giants ($6,500) – I love the two options above, along with a few others (Drew Brees, Carson Wentz and Dak Prescott, to be specific). However, if you like going cheap, I would venture realllllll low down to Eli Manning. Manning may be finding his groove with stud wideout Sterling Shepard (might see his name again shortly) returning from injury as Eli has thrown for multiple touchdowns in each of his last two contests. In Week 11, Manning faces a Chiefs defense allowing the 5th most passing yards per game and the fifth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While tough to trust, Eli is in a great position to succeed this week and could payoff with a big game against a struggling Kansas City secondary.
- Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs ($8,600) – The New York Giants run defense is horrendous allowing the third most rushing yards per game. Probably because the 1-8 Giants spend almost every afternoon trailing, watching the other team milk the clock in the fourth quarter. And this Sunday should be no different with the Chiefs projected as double digit road favorites. And while the master of gameplan disaster Andy Reid instills as much confidence in me as a knife in a gunfight, Kareem Hunt should be in line for a heavy workload on the ground, especially given his 9 carry head-scratcher in Week 9. With the Chiefs up big, look for Hunt to receiver a larger-than-normal (and much deserved) volume.
- LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills ($8,000) – Leading the team in rushing yards, total yards, targets, receptions, touchdowns and ranking second in passing yards, LeSean McCoy remains a true, high-volume RB1 every single week. And with the Bills traveling to LA to face a Charger team allowing the most rushing yards per game, third most yards per attempt and 6th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, expect that usage trend to continue Week 11. Sure, Kelvin Benjamin is the new toy, and Charles Clay is finally back from injury, but McCoy is their ace.
- Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,100) – Maybe I am crazy for expecting Doug Martin to finally explode in Week 11. After all he has just 58 rushing yards 28 carries over his last two games. But with the return of Mike Evans, I expect the offense to open up just enough for Martin to find holes. The Dolphins have allowed over 129 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs Since Week 5, most recently being gashed by Jonathan Stewart, Cameron Artis-Payne and company for 199 total running back rushing yards (not to mention another 95 from Cam Newton). With Ryan Fitzpatrick starting again this week, look for Martin to provide some balance for the journeyman quarterback.
- James White, RB, New England Patriots ($5,100) – As stated on the Stream Team I actually like Rex Burkhead quite a bit this week against a horrendous Raider run defense that allows plenty of catches to opposing running backs. However Burkhead costs $600 more than James White and I never shy away from a discount. Regardless of the running back deployment in New England, White always finds his fantasy points, only once scoring below 9.3 FanDuel points in his past six weeks. Averaging nearly double digit FanDuel points per game, White possess a strong floor with high upside in this potential shootout.
Sometimes I see spots to spend money and sometimes I see spots to save money. This week I think you load up at QB (Brady), RB (Hunt and/or McCoy) and TE (See below!). And I think you save at wide receiver. Like last week there are some decent matchups. Dez Bryant could be a monster against a mediocre Philly secondary with no Zeke to take away his touches. But last week he did not impress. Mike Evans gets a middling Dolphins defense…but has Fitz throwing him the ball. Michael Thomas and DeAndre Hopkins face Josh Norman and Patrick Peterson, respectively. I am not saying do not play them. But I am saying some of the names below could match or surpass their total for $2,000 less.
- Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants ($6,500) – As mentioned above, Eli profiles asa great play this week against a struggling Kansas City secondary. And with the Chiefs allowing the most fantasy points to opposing wideouts, there is no reason to look any further than Sterling Shepard. Since his return, Shepard has caught 16 of 22 balls for 212 yards. Most recently in Week 10 Shepard dazzled, catching 11 of 13 targets for 142 yards. With his usage rate high and the Chiefs incapable of containing opposing wide receivers, expect Shepard’s volume to be at its peak as Manning should throw all game with the Giants likely trailing all afternoon.
- Marqise Lee, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,500) – The Cleveland Browns arguably roster the best run defense in football. And while Leonard Fournette should get his, I expect Blake Bortles to be more involved in the gameplan Week 11 against a Browns team allowing the 7th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the third highest opposing QB Rating. Marqise Lee ranks first on the Jags in targets, receptions and receiving yards, and has 14 catches on 23 targets for 130 yards and 2 scores over the past two weeks. With Allen Hurns (the team’s second option at wideout) missing Week 11, look for Lee to be more involved than normal. Also, for an extra suggestion, keep your eye on Dede Westbrook at $4,500, the lowest possible FanDuel skill player price.
- DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins ($6,200) – The more I watch DeVante Parker, the more I love him and his connection with Smokin’ Jay Cutler. With a somewhat muddied backfield, Parker squares off against a Bucs defense allowing the fourth most passing yards per game and the fourth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Since returning from injury, Parker has caught 11 of 17 balls for 142 yards, and has not dipped below 9.5 FanDuel points in any game he started and finished in this year. Solid floor, high upside, low price. Check, check and check.
- Nelson Agholor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles ($6,000) – With the Cowboys giving up the 8th most points to opposing wide receivers and the Eagles possessing the second highest scoring team in the NFL, I expect Carson Wentz to lead his high-flying Eagles offense right through the Cowboys porous defense. So look no further than Nelson Agholor, clocking in at an even $6,000. Sure he has struggled over the past two weeks catching just 5 passes for 62 yards. But let’s not forget about the three double digit performances right before that, with one receiving touchdown in each game.
- Jamison Crowder, WR, Washington Redskins ($5,400) – Projected as 8 point underdogs in the second highest scoring game of the week, I expect Kirk Cousins to have to throw the ball 40+ times against a streaking Saints team. And over the past two weeks, Jamison Crowder has emerged as the clear, preferred receiving option. Crowder has 13 catches on 24 targets for 199 yards in his past two contests, receiving at least 11 targets in both games. I expect that type of volume to continue Week 11, and at his rolled back price he will find himself in most of my lineups.
- Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs ($7,500) – One stat that I think every fantasy player knows supports this pick. Somehow, someway, the Giants defense has allowed a tight end touchdown in every single game this season. All of them. Nine out of nine. The bye week is the only team that did not score a tight end touchdown against them, but maybe it somehow did. And do you think the Giants will be able to stop arguably the best fantasy tight end in football? Me either. Start Travis Kelce.
- Jared Cook, TE, Oakland Raiders ($5,600) – We all know the Bill Belichick gameplan by now: take away the oppositions number one option and force them to do something different, something uncomfortable. Well, I think it is safe to safe the Raiders passing offense revolves around their skilled wideouts Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper. So you know that will be Bill’s 1A and 1B this week in practice. But Jared Cook may go unnoticed. In Week 9, Cook caught 8 of 9 passes for 126 yards (all season highs). And while the Pats have played the tight end better the last three weeks, let’s not forget they allowed 5 tight end touchdowns in their first 6 weeks.
- Jake Elliott, K, Philadelphia Eagles ($5,100) – Jake Elliott scores as consistently as any kicker I have every seen. His low point total this year is 9. Gotta love seeing that. Philadelphia travels to Dallas in the Jerryworld dome to square off against a lousy Dallas defense. With Philly scoring the second most points per game, expect Elliott to tee off early and often Sunday night.
- Nick Rose, K, Washington Redskins ($4,700) – The second highest total on the board, the Washington Redskins travel to the friendly kicking confines of the Superdome to face an all-of-a-sudden impressive Saints defense. However, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. As mentioned above the gunslinger Cousins should be throwing all day, and I fully expect Washington to move the ball down the field often enough to get in scoring range. So Nick Rose should get plenty of work on Sunday, with the extra bump playing in the dome.
- Jacksonville Jaguars DST ($5,600) – The Jacksonville Jaguars DST ranks as the highest scoring fantasy defense and the Browns allow the second most points to opposing defenses. And the Browns have the lowest implied team total Week 11 at just 15 points. You do the math.
- Baltimore Ravens DST ($4,700) – There are some very respectable options down in these lower depths (Arizona, $4,600, against the Texans; Bengals, $4500, against the Broncos, ). However, if you can afford the Baltimore Ravens DST, I suggest you take the plunge. Brett Hundley appears incapable of leading a professional offense and now down to his RB3 things do not look any better. Baltimore has twice scored over 20 FanDuel points in their past four games and allow under 20 points per game on the season. With the Packers having for an implied team total of just 17.75, the Ravens should take advantage of Hundley’s inexperience and frazzle the opposing QB like they have done to others all season.
And that’s a wrap for Fanduel Week 11 analysis. Remember to always look at the matchups and Vegas totals, which are always telling, and do not be afraid to admit they know more than you, because they usually do. Until next time, good luck and don’t forget to tip me 10% of your earnings. Thanks in advance.