RSJ’s Jackson Barrett created a value-based drafting Excel tool to create the preseason values for this Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart. The tool uses the FantasyPros consensus projections to assign values based on a 12-team, full PPR league.
Each week throughout the season, I will alter these values to reflect the player’s value for the rest of the season. I have made changes based on the FantasyPros ECR, results from the season so far, and The Wolf’s Rest of Season Rankings. But for the most part, the below values should generally reflect consensus rankings. The values provided also allow for comparing player values across positions, not just within one position group.
For more information on how to make successful deals, check out our strategies for negotiating trades.
Before going over player values, let’s take a look at the biggest changes to the trade value chart and some potential trade targets.
RISER
Following a couple of pedestrian performances, CJ Stroud has officially put the NFL on notice. The rookie out of Ohio State has played well throughout the season, but his Week 9 performance has pushed him into the top 10 quarterbacks for the rest of the season.
Stroud took advantage of the Tampa Bay secondary on Sunday, putting together arguably the best performance from a rookie QB of all time. 470 passing yards, five touchdowns, and a game-winning drive lifted the Texans over the Colts in a 39-37 thriller.
With a 41.8 explosion on Sunday, Stroud has now scored 20+ fantasy points in 4 of 8 games. Stroud is now firmly in the fantasy starter territory, ranking 8th among QBs in total points and 5th in PPG.
Young talent has driven the Houston offense throughout the season. Stroud’s connection with Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and others will continue to progress and Houston should find offensive success throughout the season.
FALLERS
Week 9 didn’t deliver any performances that led to significant drops in value for the fantasy-relevant QBs. However, it is worth noting the recent struggles of Lamar Jackson.
Lamar has averaged 11.75 fantasy points across the last two weeks, finishing as the QB28 and QB18. What’s confusing is that the Ravens have scored a combined 68 points in these games.
Baltimore’s defense and a successful red zone rushing attack have made it difficult for Jackson to put up fantasy points.
With an elite defense, there have been some highly negative game scripts for Lamar. Baltimore has been ahead early in recent weeks, leading to a reliance on the run game.
On top of an elite defense, Gus Edwards has five touchdowns from inside the 10-yard line in these two games. Regression is coming for Lamar’s touchdowns (rushing and passing) in the red zone.
Based on his QB3 ranking, I am clearly not worried about Lamar. His rushing ability and the quality of this offense provide him with an elite outlook each week. However, it’s worth noting that the Ravens’ defense is capable of putting Lamar in some tough spots for fantasy.
TRADE TARGET
Through nine weeks, Sam Howell is having an incredibly interesting fantasy season. Howell is the QB6 so far but has provided a floor of 4.6 points and a ceiling of 32.
This is a product of the Commanders’ overall team environment. Washington has been involved in several shootouts, pumping up fantasy numbers. Offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy is not afraid to let Howell sling it either. However, a historically terrible offensive line has led to struggles moving the ball and many drives ended by sacks.
Let’s get back to Howell being allowed to sling the ball. I’m not joking when I say that.
Howell has thrown the ball 41+ times in three consecutive games and 5 of the last 6. With this number of attempts, it will be difficult for Howell to not produce in fantasy.
Howell provides a boom or bust outlook but this isn’t necessarily bad. Unless Bieniemy changes up his offensive philosophy, Howell is a starter based on his matchup.