NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bets to Hammer - Roto Street Journal
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NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bets to Hammer

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Super Wild Card Weekend was an absolute disaster for me when it came to player props. Did I get caught up in the 24 hours of football we were given last weekend? Absolutely! Do I regret giving out three picks for the Ravens game on Sunday? Absolutely not! Life’s too short not to go crazy on Super Wild Card Weekend. With that being said, making three picks in the Ravens game and losing all three was like throwing a Hail Mary in the first quarter of a game and it ends up being a pick-six. Needless to say, I will not be making more than one pick per game this weekend. We move forward. I’ve dug myself quite a hole and the only way to get out of it is to get right back to it. We start in the FROZEN TUNDRA (Chris Berman voice) where the Los Angeles Rams take on the Green Bay Packers.

1. Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers

For my first pick of the weekend, I will be taking Robert Tonyan to score a touchdown (+160) as the 26-year old tight end has quickly become a favorite of Aaron Rodgers up in Green Bay. With 11 touchdowns to his name, Tonyan finished the season tied with Travis Kelce for the most touchdowns by a tight end this season. Although his receptions don’t quite matchup with guys like Kelce and Darren Waller, Tonyan definitely makes the most of the passes that come his way. Tonyan had 52 receptions on just 59 targets this season including 10 receptions on 11 targets within the red zone. This man catches almost everything…no wonder Aaron Rodgers loves him!

Before I get too carried away, I know what you’re thinking. You’re right, the Rams defense is other-worldly. But with all due respect to Rams defense, I’m putting my money on a rested Aaron Rodgers to find Robert Tonyan for at least one touchdown. I will absolutely be hammering this one as Tonyan looks to continue his late-season surge in which he scored a touchdown in six of his last seven games.

2. Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

Once I’m done watching Rodgers pick apart the Rams defense, I will be taking J.K Dobbins to score a touchdown (+120) as the Baltimore Ravens run all over the Buffalo Bills. For obvious reasons, Dobbins has become quite a favorite of mine over the last month. I know this is a square pick, but I can’t in good conscious pass up on the opportunity to take these odds. Dobbins has scored in seven consecutive weeks and I don’t think that’s going to end this week as he takes on a Buffalo defense that has given up 21 rushing touchdowns this season, the sixth most in the NFL.

The bottom line is that Dobbins has been absolutely money in the red zone this season. Of his 25 carries in the red zone, eight of them have resulted in a score. That means when Dobbins is in the red zone, he has scored 32% of the time he touches the ball. To put that into perspective, Derrick Henry has only scored 22% of the time he gets the ball in the red zone. The rookie running back is an absolute stud and I will absolutely be hammering him to score. Assuming the Ravens win on Saturday, I will continue to take Dobbins as an anytime touchdown scorer until he is no longer a plus-money bet.

3. Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs

For my first pick of Sunday afternoon, I will be taking Nick Chubb to rush for over 67.5 yards (-121). Like Dobbins, Chubb has become one of my favorite guys to watch this season. If you don’t like watching this guy run all over opposing defenses, you’re certifiably insane. I’m not going to lie, this is a bit of a biased pick due to the fact that I despise the Kansas City Chiefs. But nonetheless, Chubb averaged 88.9 rushing yards per game during the regular season and he is primed for a huge matchup against a Kansas City defense that has been more than vulnerable to the run game this season. The Chiefs gave up a whopping 122.1 rushing yards per game this season. That’s the worst mark of any of the 14 teams that made the playoffs this year.

Considering the fact that the Browns averaged 148.4 rushing yards per game on offense, I really like Chubb’s chances to go over the 67.5 rushing yards total. In fact, I’d be willing to take the over on Chubb’s rushing total all the way up to 79.5. DraftKings is practically giving away free money with this total. Grab it early and hammer this one!

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

With my fourth and final pick of the divisional round, I will be taking Antonio Brown to score a touchdown (+225). Say what you want about Antonio Brown, but the dude can straight out ball. Over the last five weeks, Brown is averaging 72.8 receiving yards and 5.4 receptions per game. Additionally, Brown has found the end zone in four consecutive weeks. Brady and Brown seem to finally be meshing like they originally intended to do in New England. I know this may seem like a bit of a longshot, but I love our chances as Brown poses a matchup nightmare for the Buccaneers. With Chris Godwin and Mike Evans drawing a lot of attention from the Saints defense, Brown is going to have his opportunities against what some might consider…lesser competition. I know it may seem crazy to take Brown in this spot, but I’m pulling the trigger on this one. I hope you do too!

One week down in the NFL playoffs and I am sitting at 3-5(+.7 units). We’ve got to chip away and get back above .500 before the playoffs are over. That starts this week! Tail at your own risk. You can find all these odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. Good luck everybody! Let’s win some money! And, as always, bet responsibly!

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