NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (2021): Risers, Fallers, Injury Notes - Roto Street Journal
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NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (2021): Risers, Fallers, Injury Notes

This trade value chart probably looks different than other charts you’re used to seeing. Most other analysts take their rest of the season rankings, apply arbitrary numbers to each player based on rank order, and call it a day.

METHODOLOGY

I used a value-based drafting Excel tool to create the initial pre-Week 1 values for this chart. Since then, I have made changes based on the results from the first three weeks, FantasyPros Rest of the Season ECR, The Wolf’s Rest of Season Rankings, and my expected fantasy points analysis (updated every Wednesday).

For a more detailed explanation of the calculations, please click here. The tool calculates values based on a 12-team, full PPR league.

PLAYERPOSTEAM1QB2QB
Dalvin CookRBMIN6767
Alvin KamaraRBNO6666
Derrick HenryRBTEN6262
Davante AdamsWRGB6060
Christian McCaffreyRBCAR5959
Travis KelceTEKC5858
Tyreek HillWRKC5252
Aaron JonesRBGB5050
Austin EkelerRBLAC4747
Stefon DiggsWRBUF4747
DeAndre HopkinsWRARI4242
Joe MixonRBCIN4242
Ezekiel ElliottRBDAL4141
Saquon BarkleyRBNYG4141
D'Andre SwiftRBDET4040
Cooper KuppWRLAR3838
Calvin RidleyWRATL3838
Najee HarrisRBPIT3838
Keenan AllenWRLAC3838
Darren WallerTELV3737
Justin JeffersonWRMIN3737
D.K. MetcalfWRSEA3636
Nick ChubbRBCLE3636
Amari CooperWRDAL3535
CeeDee LambWRDAL3535
Jonathan TaylorRBIND3535
Antonio GibsonRBWAS3434
D.J. MooreWRCAR3333
Chris GodwinWRTB3232
Terry McLaurinWRWAS3232
Tyler LockettWRSEA3232
David MontgomeryRBCHI3131
A.J. BrownWRTEN3131
Patrick Mahomes IIQBKC3059
George KittleTESF3030
Chris CarsonRBSEA2929
Mike WilliamsWRLAC2929
Kyler MurrayQBARI2856
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRBKC2828
Miles SandersRBPHI2828
Darrell HendersonRBLAR2828
T.J. HockensonTEDET2828
Allen Robinson IIWRCHI2727
Adam ThielenWRMIN2727
Lamar JacksonQBBAL2652
Josh AllenQBBUF2652
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN2626
James RobinsonRBJAC2626
Mark AndrewsTEBAL2525
Josh JacobsRBLV2424
Mike EvansWRTB2424
Diontae JohnsonWRPIT2424
Robert WoodsWRLAR2323
Courtland SuttonWRDEN2323
Brandin CooksWRHOU2323
Tee HigginsWRCIN2222
Deebo SamuelWRSF2121
Chase EdmondsRBARI2020
Julio JonesWRTEN2020
Dak PrescottQBDAL1746
Damien HarrisRBNE1717
Myles GaskinRBMIA1717
Odell Beckham Jr.WRCLE1717
Brandon AiyukWRSF1717
Tom BradyQBTB1644
Chase ClaypoolWRPIT1616
Mike DavisRBATL1515
Corey DavisWRNYJ1414
Antonio BrownWRTB1414
Russell WilsonQBSEA1342
Kyle PittsTEATL1313
Javonte WilliamsRBDEN1313
Kareem HuntRBCLE1313
Aaron RodgersQBGB1240
DeVonta SmithWRPHI1212
Logan ThomasTEWAS1212
Rob GronkowskiTETB1212
Tyler HigbeeTELAR1212
Michael Pittman Jr.WRIND1212
Justin HerbertQBLAC1138
Ty'Son WilliamsRBBAL1111
Melvin Gordon IIIRBDEN1111
Marquise BrownWRBAL1111
Kenny GolladayWRNYG1111
Noah FantTEDEN1010
Chuba HubbardRBCAR1010
Jakobi MeyersWRNE1010
JuJu Smith-SchusterWRPIT1010
Jaylen WaddleWRMIA1010
Elijah MitchellRBSF99
Leonard FournetteRBTB99
Jamaal WilliamsRBDET99
Nyheim HinesRBIND99
Michael ThomasWRNO99
Ryan TannehillQBTEN836
Matthew StaffordQBLAR836
Will Fuller VWRMIA88
Tyler BoydWRCIN88
Jalen HurtsQBPHI734
D.J. Chark Jr.WRJAC77
Marvin Jones Jr.WRJAC77
Trey SermonRBSF77
Dallas GoedertTEPHI66
Laviska Shenault Jr.WRJAC66
Sterling ShepardWRNYG66
Jarvis LandryWRCLE66
Rondale MooreWRARI66
Alexander MattisonRBMIN66
Jerry JeudyWRDEN55
DeVante ParkerWRMIA55
Kenyan DrakeRBLV55
Tony PollardRBDAL55
Cordarrelle PattersonRBATL55
Derek CarrQBLV430
Robert TonyanTEGB44
Henry Ruggs IIIWRLV44
Sony MichelRBLAR44
Bryan EdwardsWRLV44
Michael CarterRBNYJ44
J.D. McKissicRBWAS44
Zack MossRBBUF44
Mike GesickiTEMIA44
Joe BurrowQBCIN327
Darnell MooneyWRCHI33
Robby AndersonWRCAR33
Elijah MooreWRNYJ33
Jalen ReagorWRPHI33
Devin SingletaryRBBUF33
Kenneth GainwellRBPHI33
AJ DillonRBGB33
James ConnerRBARI33
Peyton BarberRBLV33
Emmanuel SandersWRBUF33
Trey LanceQBSF210
Marquez CallawayWRNO22
Ronald Jones IIRBTB22
Cole BeasleyWRBUF22
Christian KirkWRARI22
Latavius MurrayRBNO22
Mark IngramRBHOU22
Tony Jones Jr.RBNO22
Giovanni BernardRBTB22
Jonnu SmithTENE22
Kirk CousinsQBMIN125
Sam DarnoldQBCAR119
Teddy BridgewaterQBDEN118
Daniel JonesQBNYG118
Baker MayfieldQBCLE116
Jameis WinstonQBNO115
Jared GoffQBDET114
Matt RyanQBATL113
Trevor LawrenceQBJAC111
Mac JonesQBNE110
Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT19
Carson WentzQBIND19
Justin FieldsQBCHI18
Zach WilsonQBNYJ17
Taylor HeinickeQBWAS15
Tyrod TaylorQBHOU14
Tua TagovailoaQBMIA13
Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF13
Davis MillsQBHOU13
Michael GallupWRDAL11
Ty JohnsonRBNYJ11
Hunter HenryTENE11
Evan EngramTENYG11
Gerald EverettTESEA11
James WhiteRBNE11
Tevin ColemanRBNYJ11
Mecole HardmanWRKC11
Nelson AgholorWRNE11
Damien WilliamsRBCHI11
Phillip LindsayRBHOU11
Carlos HydeRBJAX11
Larry Rountree IIIRBLAC11
Cole KmetTECHI11
Jared CookTELAC11
Andy DaltonQBCHI11
Ryan FitzpatrickQBWAS11
Terrace Marshall Jr.WRCAR11
Darrel WilliamsRBKC11

WEEK 3 RISERS AND FALLERS

For a more detailed analysis of specific risers and fallers, I recommend listening to The Wolf’s breakdown here.

RISERS

  • Josh Allen reminded everyone why he was a consensus top-3 QB off the board in drafts with a monster 358 yard, 4 TD day through the air with another TD on the ground.
  • Mike Williams was already a clear riser on last week’s chart, but he again exploded to catch 7 of 9 targets for 122 yards and two scores. I moved him up again this week, but teammate Keenan Allen was also excellent, leading the team in snaps (Allen 55, Williams 48), routes (Allen 39, Williams 35), and targets (Allen 12, Williams 9).
  • Najee Harris and Chase Claypool dominated the targets in Pittsburgh with Diontae Johnson sidelined and JuJu Smith-Schuster leaving the game early. Harris was fed an absurd 19 targets and continues to see nearly 100% of the carries. Claypool was targeted 15 times.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire put up his first solid performance of 2021, rushing for 100 yards and catching a short touchdown.
  • Jakobi Meyers quietly racked up 14 targets and turned them into 9 catches for 94 yards. Meyers remains the WR1 on the Patriots and could make a nice target if you need WR depth, especially in PPR leagues.

FALLERS

  • Justin Fields can be left on waiver wires in single-QB leagues after a brutal 6-20 performance passing, and only 80 total yards. Allen Robinson‘s arrow is clearly pointing down after that performance, and he will need the offense to improve to return value.
  • Jonathan Taylor was out-snapped by teammate Nyhiem Hines 34-29 in Week 3. Hines saw six targets to Taylor’s three and is becoming a problem for Taylor’s usage.
  • Robert Woods once again disappointed with only 33 yards on 6 targets to Cooper Kupp‘s 12 targets. Woods again ran a route on nearly all pass plays in Week 3 though, so I’m not ready to completely give up yet.

WEEK 3 INJURY NOTES

For a more detailed injury breakdown, check out CJay’s Trainer’s Room article coming out on Wednesday. I am writing this on Monday night and tried to take the following injuries into account, but stay tuned for updates throughout the week.

  • Christian McCaffrey suffered the highest-profile injury of the week when he left Thursday Night Football in the first quarter with a hamstring strain. He reportedly will not go on IR, suggesting the team believe he has a shot to play in Week 6. When valuing McCaffrey, I am assuming that he will miss 2-3 weeks with a good chance to return to normal production when he comes back. If you’re 0-3, you probably need to look to sell, but I would hold if you think you can make the playoffs without him for the next few weeks.
  • A.J. Brown left Week 3 early with a hamstring injury that could potentially sideline him in future weeks. I slightly downgraded him in the chart, but the situation should be clearer later in the week.
  • Chris Carson also injured his hamstring in Week 3, but like Brown, we don’t have much information yet. I also downgraded him slightly.
  • James White suffered a hip subluxation in Week 3 and seems likely to go on IR. He is droppable unless the injury turns out to be much less severe than reported.
  • Continue to monitor players like Josh Jacobs, Dalvin Cook, Darrell Henderson, and Diontae Johnson who missed Week 3. All of these players seem to be relatively close to returning and are not downgraded significantly on the chart.

Check back next Tuesday for updated player values and a breakdown of risers and fallers. Reach out on Twitter @RSJ_Jackson with any questions!

Author

  • I am currently working as an accountant and have been obsessed with fantasy football for over 10 years. My specialties are auction draft strategy and discovering unique team management strategies to maximize winning odds. Thanks for reading!

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