Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart Week 4: Wide Receivers

Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart
Championships are won with trades.

RSJ’s Jackson Barrett created a value-based drafting Excel tool to create the preseason values for this Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart. The tool uses the FantasyPros consensus projections to assign values based on a 12-team, full PPR league.

Each week throughout the season, these values will be altered to reflect the player’s value for the rest of the season. Changes made to player’s value will be based on FantasyPros Rest of Season ECR, results from the season thus far, and The Wolf’s Rest of Season Rankings. But for the most part, the below values should generally reflect consensus rankings. The values provided also allow for comparing player values across positions, not just within one positional group.

For more information on how to make successful deals, check out our strategies for negotiating trades.

Be sure to tune back each week throughout the season. We’ll be adjusting the chart, discussing risers & fallers, and pinpointing trade targets.

The trade value chart for each position is linked below.

Fantasy Football Week 4 Trade Value Chart: Wide Receivers

Wide Receiver Riser

A good portion of the fantasy community was very excited to see how Malik Nabers’ talent would elevate the Giants’ offense. Through three games, Nabers has absolutely smashed expectations.

Those who were bullish on Nabers had pretty lofty expectations. Many people anticipated that he would command somewhere in the range of a 30 percent target share and this sort of volume would allow him to overcome any issues presented by Daniel Jones.

Let’s check in on how Nabers has done over the last two games:

  • Targets: 30 (1st among WRs)
  • Target Share: 47.6% (1st)
  • Air Yards: 340 (1st)
  • Air Yards Share: 69.0% (1st)
  • Yards Per Route Run (Min. 25 Routes): 3.36 (6th)
  • Fantasy Points Per Route Run: 0.93 (1st)

This is an incredibly small sample and it’s not difficult to realize that this is unsustainable. However, the thesis on Nabers has been proven to be true and he is well within the WR1 ranks moving forward.

Wide Receiver Fallers

We all knew that it would be a rough transition from Tua Tagovailoa to Skylar Thompson, but wow the Dolphins’ offense looked truly horrendous in Week 3.

With a combination of Thompson and Tim Boyle under center, Miami’s offense went for 205 total yards (3.7 yards per play), picked up 10 first downs, and scored just three points.

It shouldn’t come as a shock to see Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle struggle in an offensive environment as barren as this. The duo combined for just 13.3 fantasy points and both now rank outside of the top 20 WRs on the season.

It seems that Tyler “Snoop” Huntley may take over starting quarterback duties after Thompson suffered a rib injury on Sunday. Regardless of who’s under center, it’s hard to be bullish about the outlook of either Hill or Waddle.

Wide Receiver Trade Target

This is the last call to grab Jayden Reed before his value climbs when Jordan Love returns. Even with Love sidelined, Reed has been an effective pass catcher. It’s just that the low-volume passing attack that Matt LaFleur has utilized with Malik Willis under center has not been conducive to fantasy production for any receiver, regardless of talent.

Reed is both talented and efficient. Since entering the league last season, he ranks 9th in fantasy points per route run.

Reed has been in a “do it all” role for Matt LaFleur, operating in the shallow and intermediate thirds of the field, handling carries, and taking the occasional deep target. He should reprise this role when Love returns to the field.

We currently value Reed as a fringe WR2 and there’s a chance that you could scoop him up for much cheaper than that after a few slow weeks.

Tier 1: The Alphas

Tier 2: High-End Starters

Tier 3: Quality Options

Tier 4: Emergency Starters and Bench Assetts

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