Keon Coleman Draft Profile, Scouting Report, NFL Combine Results (2024): Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook

Keon Coleman is one of the most polarizing prospects in this draft.

Keon Coleman is a wide receiver who played his first two seasons at Michigan State before transferring to Florida State. Coleman is expected to be a first-round pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. He is currently No. 8 overall (WR4) on our 2024 Dynasty Rookie Rankings & SuperFlex Big Board and will likely be a late-first-round pick in fantasy football dynasty rookie drafts.

Check out our Fantasy Stock Watch for our 2024 Rookie Draft Profiles and Scouting Reports.

KEON COLEMAN DRAFT PROFILE AND NFL COMBINE RESULTS

  • As a High School Prospect: Composite 4-Star, 377th nationally (WR61)
  • Skillset & Traits: Keon Coleman epitomizes the ideal ‘X’ receiver, relying on his blend of physicality and athleticism to outmatch defensive backs. His ability to consistently win jump ball situations, coupled with impeccable ball skills and strong hands, distinguishes him on the field. Coleman’s physical and dynamic presence after the catch, alongside his basketball background at Michigan State, underscores his potential as an elite NFL wide receiver, poised to refine his game further and assume the role of an alpha receiver.
  • Production: At Michigan State and Florida State, Coleman racked up 115 receptions for 1,506 yards and 19 touchdowns as a two-year starter.
  • NFL Combine Results: Height: 6’3″ Weight: 213 lbs Arm: 32 1/8″ Hand: 9 3/8″

KEON COLEMAN SCOUTING REPORT

STRENGTHS:

  • Prototypical ‘X’ receiver who uses his physicality and athleticism to beat defensive backs
  • Wins most jump ball and contested catch opportunities with size and strength
  • Impeccable ball skills with strong hands
  • Physical and dynamic after the catch, breaking tackles and hurdling over defenders
  • Elite athlete who can become a more polished player
  • Looks the part of an alpha NFL wide receiver
  • Played basketball for Tom Izzo at Michigan State

WEAKNESSES:

  • Flashes of dominance but massively inconsistent
  • Not a great separator on short and intermediate routes
  • Can improve as a route runner on all three levels
  • Does not possess elite vertical speed to dust defenders vertically

KEON COLEMAN PRODUCTION PROFILE

Keon Coleman began his collegiate career at Michigan State, playing football and basketball under legendary head coach Tom Izzo. If you watch just a few minutes of his game, you can see his basketball skill set immediately appears.

His tape is fun to watch. You’ll see him Moss’ing defenders, hurdling over would-be-tacklers, and snagging balls with one hand. However, he doesn’t look like a first-round prospect when you dig deep into the numbers.

Coleman’s career production has been up and down. After not playing much as a freshman (which is normal), he somewhat broke out as a sophomore, totaling 58 receptions for 798 yards and seven touchdowns. After transferring to Florida State, he tallied 50 receptions for 658 yards and 11 touchdowns.

While the touchdown numbers are nice, the low reception and yardage totals are not. His career totals match some season totals for this year’s top prospects, and that’s an issue for Coleman, who possesses elite physical traits.

Plus, Coleman averaged 1.90 yards per route run for his collegiate career, per PFF. This falls short of Malik Nabers’ 2.80 yprr in 2023, Marvin Harrison Jr.’s yprr 3.03 career average, and Rome Odunze’s yprr 3.09 2023 season.

To be fair, however, he played in an anemic offense in East Lansing, and his offense at Florida State was far more balanced, and he wasn’t asked to do as much as the team’s WR1.

This is a classic case of tape vs. the numbers with Keon Coleman. His highlight tape has as many ‘wows’ as any of the top players in this class, but his advanced stats and inconsistencies leave much to be desired.

KEON COLEMAN NFL COMBINE & RAS SCORE

People will talk about the 4.61 40, as they should because it’s gross. However, Coleman is the prime example of track speed vs game speed. He proved he has the game speed, reaching 20.36 mph, the fastest gauntlet speed of his receiver group during the combine.

40 time vs gauntlet speed? I’ll pick the latter.

BOTTOM LINE

Keon Coleman went from one of the most inept offenses in the country at Michigan State to one of the most explosive offenses in the country at Florida State. Because of the transfer portal, Coleman put himself on the national map in his FSU debut when he exploded for 122 yards and three touchdowns on nine receptions against LSU.

Although his final season had spectacular highlights, such as his 9-140-1 with 107 punt return yards against Syracuse, he also disappeared at times, like when he dropped a goose egg against Boston College and had five games with three or fewer receptions. This was mostly due to his inability to separate consistently and relying too much on his superior athleticism, physicality, and size over lesser defensive backs.

Coleman’s size, athleticism, and tools will likely get him drafted in the first round, but he must continue to evolve his game to be a more consistent dynasty fantasy option. I’m rolling the dice on the talent and upside here. But, he could stumble down my receiver rankings and Big Board behind Brian Thomas Jr. and Troy Franklin if his pre-draft is not up to par.

Overall, the upside is immense, but the floor is scary (Quentin Johnston 2.0?!).

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