NFL Week 5 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart (2021): Risers, Fallers, Injury Notes

This trade value chart probably looks different than other charts you’re used to seeing. Most other analysts take their rest of the season rankings, apply arbitrary numbers to each player based on rank order, and call it a day.

I used a value-based drafting Excel tool to create the initial pre-Week 1 values for this chart. Since then, I have made changes based on the results from the first three weeks, FantasyPros Rest of the Season ECR, The Wolf’s Rest of Season Rankings, and my expected fantasy points analysis (updated every Wednesday).

For a more detailed explanation of the calculations, please click here. The tool calculates values based on a 12-team, full PPR league.

For a more detailed analysis of specific risers and fallers, I recommend listening to The Wolf’s breakdown here.

Week 4 Stock Watch:

📈DHenderson, CPatt, Edmonds, Fournette, DHarris, Zeke, LatMurray, TLance, DJones, Hurts, DJM, Deebo, Mooney, Diontae, Golladay & Toney, Crowder, Van J, Cobb, AJG, Knox, Schultz

📉Carson, MSanders, Aiyuk, Woods, Kirk & DHop, Cook, Ty'Son, Sony

Missing any?

— Wolf of Roto Street (@RotoStreetWolf) October 4, 2021

RISERS

• With a 6-34-0 line rushing and a 5-82-3 receiving line, Cordarrelle Patterson was Sunday’s overall PPR RB1. RSJ recommends selling him after this performance, and I agree.
• Darrell Henderson seems to be mostly recovered from his rib injury and resumed his every-down role, playing 61 of 68 snaps. Henderson saw 14 carries and 6 targets this week and remains a solid fantasy asset.
• Leonard Fournette carried 20 times and caught three of five targets for 138 all-purpose yards in Week 4. Look for him to continue to dominate touches and snaps, at least until Giovanni Bernard returns.
• Jaguars receivers Marvin Jones Jr. and Laviska Shenault both see an uptick in value due to DJ Chark‘s season-ending injury.

FALLERS

• Miles Sanders was outplayed by backup Kenneth Gainwell in Week 4. Sanders only saw seven carries and three targets after an extremely light workload in Week 3, and Gainwell could see his snaps increase if he continues to be effective.
• Ravens running back Ty’Son Williams was a surprise inactive this week. The Ravens decided to give Latavius Murray the bulk of the carries. This backfield situation is murky going forward.
• Dalvin Cook was limited to about half of the snaps last week due to injury. He’s still an elite fantasy asset, but he falls behind Christian McCaffrey and Derrick Henry.

WEEK 3 INJURY NOTES

For a more detailed injury breakdown, check out CJay’s Trainer’s Room article coming out on Wednesday. I am writing this on Monday night and tried to take the following injuries into account, but stay tuned for updates throughout the week.

• Christian McCaffrey is reportedly on track to practice on Wednesday. When valuing McCaffrey, I am still assuming that he will most likely miss Week 5 and return in Week 6. He returns to the most valuable asset in fantasy football given the positive reports since suffering the initial injury.
• David Montgomery suffered a knee injury in Week 4. As of now, he appears likely to miss a few weeks. I downgraded him in the chart due to injury. Backup Damien Willliams also suffered a thigh bruise, but he should start as long as Montgomery is out and is upgraded accordingly.
• Joe Mixon sprained his ankle on Thursday night and will likely miss time.
• Will Fuller suffered a broken finger in Week 4 and will likely miss time.
• Amari Cooper played through a hamstring injury in Week 4. It’s currently unclear if he will miss time, but monitor his practice participation this week.
• Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a calf injury that knocked him out of Week 4. Dr. David Chao believes the injury is a calf contusion, which he could potentially play through. If he has a calf strain, he will miss time, so backup Trey Lance might get another opportunity.
• Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgewater was concussed in Week 4, putting his status in doubt for next week.
• Logan Thomas will likely miss time with a hamstring injury, and Rob Gronkowski will continue to miss time with broken ribs and a punctured lung. They still have value given the lack of depth at the tight end position, but both drop in value.

Check back next Tuesday for updated player values and a breakdown of risers and fallers. Reach out on Twitter @RSJ_Jackson with any questions!