Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
This wonderful Thursday is a pivotal time stamp in the year for many reasons.
For some, it marks the official beginning of the Christmas season, instilling that salubrious sense of Christmas spirit. Some believe it’s the perceived bridge between the end of Fall and the start of Winter.
For us fantasy football freaks, it’s a time stamp for the final push for fantasy football playoff positions.
Every matchup is worth its weight in win-loss gravy and losers are stuck holding the bag and feeling like the Thanksgiving turkey.
With Thursday being a larger-than-expected slate of football games, here’s an additional WR/CB matchup guide to exploit, specifically for Thursday games!
FAVORITE WR MATCHUPS
Gabe Davis vs Detroit secondary
There is no Jeff Okudah for the Lions this week, so any semblance of a lockdown corner has been thrown out the window like the leftover cranberry sauce.
“Daddy Davis” or “Babe Davis”. Whatever nickname Davis is fondly known as, his matchup makes him look like the flex-daddy of the week.
Davis is projected to draw coverage from Amani Oruwariye and his sexy 0.42 fantasy points per route run allowed. Davis draws a target on only 15.7% of his routes but he scores 0.35 fantasy points on his routes.
What makes Davis even more appealing is how much TD upside he drips with this week.
The Buffalo-Detroit game has a projected over/under of 54.5 and the Bills are 9.5 point favorites, leaving the implied score of the game around 32-23. Davis has scored a touchdown in four of his nine games this season and has seen at least seven targets in three of his last four games.
In other words, after a bit of an up-and-down start to the season, Davis is starting to firmly entrench his value in this offense.
Other favorable matchups: Adam Thielen vs New England Patriots, Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Buffalo Bills
AVOID THESE WR MATCHUPS
Michael Gallup vs New York Giants
Dak Prescott has been on fire lately, scoring over 20 fantasy points in his last three games.
He’s thrown for seven touchdowns to only three interceptions. Still, these New York Giants have had a nasty habit of mucking up the waters for opposing teams.
Gallup has not looked like the same player since that marvelous 2019 season. He is projected to see a healthy dose of Fabian Moreau, who is only targeted on 16.9% of his routes in coverage. Moreau also allows only 0.23 fantasy points per route while Gallup has only seen 0.27 fantasy points per route.
Gallup has also failed to separate himself from Noah Brown, seeing a target on 20% of his routes, compared to Brown’s 18.6%. Some of that came while Gallup was still recovering from the torn ACL, but Gallup has still only averaged a meager 9.7 fantasy points per game since returning.
In a difficult matchup with a low ceiling, Gallup is best left as a desperation flex at best.
Other risky matchups: All NE pass catchers vs Minnesota Vikings, Darius Slayton vs Dallas Cowboys