Week 9 Recap: Welcome back to Week 10 of our season-long DFS battle. DALVIN FREAKING COOK BABY! If you read last week’s then I hope you took Kendall’s advice about Dalvin Cook because he absolutely smashed the last 2 weeks! Sounds like deja vu? That’s cause it is. Despite still winning some money from last week’s lineup, Shenault and Fant really let me down. Neither of our stacks of the week hit last week but it’s a new week. Let’s get it.
Without further ado, here are our DraftKings NFL Week 10 Stacks & Value Picks
| Kendall’s Lineup | Tino’s Lineup | |
| QB | Tom Brady, $6,300 | Jared Goff, $6,500 |
| RB | Antonio Gibson, $5,600 | Aaron Jones, $7,100 |
| RB | Aaron Jones, $7,100 | Mike Davis, $4,000 |
| WR | Antonio Brown, $5,800 | Keenan Allen, $7,100 |
| WR | Cooper Kupp, $6,900 | Robert Woods, $6,600 |
| WR | Mike Williams, $5,400 | Tyler Lockett, $6,500 |
| TE | Evan Engram, $4,500 | Evan Engram, $4,500 |
| Flex | DeVante Parker, $5,000 | Duke Johnson, $5,000 |
| DST | Washington DST, $3,200 | Giants DST, $2,700 |
Stacks of the Week
KB: I cannot emphasize this enough — Play. The. Matchups. I’ve been attacking bad defenses all year and I’m going to continue that trend with Antonio Gibson (or J.D. McKissic if Gibson does not play) and the Washington DST.
Starting with the Detroit Lions whose defense has taken over as the NFL’s worst defense against opposing RBs. On average, the Lions are allowing over 35.8 points per game to the position. I think both Gibson ($5,200) and McKissic ($4,900) are viable options this week. Gibson is the team’s main ball carrier so if Washington were to score a rushing touchdown in this game it’s probably going to be Gibson. McKissic is an interesting play because of his involvement in the passing game. The Lions have allowed the most receiving touchdowns to RBs this season (5) and if McKissic receives another 14 targets like he saw last week, he’s going to be a great value.
Now onto the Washington DST, which has been surprisingly good this season. Washington ranks in the bottom third in points allowed to the QB, RB, and WR positions. They also rank 3rd in the NFL (3.4) in sacks per game while the Detroit offensive line has allowed Stafford to be sacked at least 4 times in 3 of 8 games this season. Offensive line struggles have because Stafford to be turnover prone. He’s thrown at least 1 interception in every game this season and at least 2 interceptions in 50% of his games. Stafford will also be without his favorite weapon and star receiver Kenny Golladay in week 10.
Both Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissc could be inline for BIG weeks against this poor Lions defense. Washington should be able to get after Stafford, sacking him a handful of times and hopefully generating a couple of turnovers. Their defense is always a bit of a crapshoot, but with one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, Washington won’t destroy your lineup.
Projected Ownership
Antonio Gibson: 2.5%
J.D. McKissic: 2.0%
Washington DST: 4.1%
JT: My stack of the week comes out of the house that my student loans built, SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. In what is projected to be a high scoring affair between the LA Rams and Seattle Seahawks, I am going to jump on the contrarian side of the coin and take the Rams passing attack to exceed expectations this week. I’m going with Jared Goff and his trusted receiver Robert Woods.
There is no sugarcoating it….. The Ram’s passing attack has disappointed fantasy owners this year. Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp have been serviceable options, but neither has been game-winners on a week to week basis. Coming off a week where Kupp received 21 targets and is limited in practice with a wrist injury, I expect Woods to be heavily utilized in the passing game.
The matchup with Seattle is picture-perfect for the Ram’s passing offense, with the Seahawks giving up a massive 372.5 passing yards per game to opposing receivers. That’s just under 50 yards more than any other team in the entire league. I expect Russ and his loaded offense to bounce back this week after a subpar performance, and to make the Rams continue to pass in order to keep up. In a game script where passing volume will be plentiful, give me the Rams QB and most steady option at WR as a foundation to my lineup.
If you are like me and like the 54.5 points over in this matchup, running it back with Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf could make for a nice (albeit expensive) play.
Projected Ownership
Jared Goff: 10.2%
Robert Woods: 12.9%
Triple Stack of the Week
KB: This week my triple stack is Baker Mayfield, Kareem Hunt, and Austin Hooper.
The narrative that Baker Mayfield is better without Odell Beckham Jr. has been well documented. While I’m not sure I am a believer in this, the numbers don’t lie. Baker is playing better without OBJ in the lineup and I think we see that trend continue this week in a favorable matchup against the Houston Texans. The Texans are allowing the 8th most points to opposing fantasy QBs (23.0). Quarterback isn’t the only position that we can attack the Texans with.
Although the Texans aren’t quite nearly as bad as the Lions run defense, the Texans are still really really bad against RBs. They’ve allowed the 3rd most points to RBs this season (31.1) which is just what we like to see in a matchup against a team that wants to run the ball. It looks like Nick Chubb could be back in week 10 but that still doesn’t scare me away from taking Kareem Hunt. I already mentioned the juicy matchup against one of the league’s worst rush defenses, but what separates Hunt from Chubb for me is the work he will receive in the passing game. Hunt has had at least 3 targets in every game except for one this season which gives him the higher upside in a stacking situation with Baker Mayfield.
Lastly, I’m going with Austin Hooper. Before requiring surgery for an emergency appendectomy, Hooper had put together a string of 6+ targets in 3 straight games. At only $3,900, Hooper should have the target share to take advantage of a great matchup in Week 10.
Projected Ownership
Baker Mayfield: 2.9%
Kareem Hunt: 5.7%
Austin Hooper: 6.2%
JT: This week my triple stack is Danny Dimes ($5,200), Sterling Shepard ($5,000), and Evan Engram ($4,500)
Philadelphia is currently dead last against the tight end position, and Evan Engram is peaking at the right time coming into Philly. He has received 10 targets in each of his last two games, and seems to be becoming a greater part of the offense as the season progresses. He has always been oozing with athletic potential, and has shown throughout his career the ability to explode in plus matchups where his volume is high.
Sterling Shepard is the other receiving option of this Giants passing attack that I like this week. He has received 8+ targets in three straight games and has been a high floor play for fantasy owners thus far when healthy.
If this is a week where Daniel Jones is able to exploit the glaring hole in the middle of the field for Philadelphia, Engram and Shepard should be the primary beneficiaries. Take them as a dirt cheap, high floor play with the potential to exceed expectations.
Projected Ownership
Daniel Jones: 1.8%
Evan Engram: 10.3%
Sterling Shepard: 2.6%
Values of the Week
KB’s Value of the Week: Miles Sanders ($6,400)
Another week and another projected low ownership star running back. Once again, the value here is not in Sanders’ price, but more so in his projected ownership on the week. MIles Sanders is one of my favorite RBs in all of football and has taken a firm grasp on the Philadelphia backfield as the bellcow. The Giants have allowed the 11th most points per game to RBs (25.6) this season. Sanders is scheduled to return this week and if he is available he’s going to be very involved once again. His 5.3% projected ownership is much too low for a player of his caliber in a matchup against a lower-tier defense. He should be in store for 20+ touches which if is the case, 25+ DK points.
Projected Ownership
Miles Sanders: 5.3%
Tino’s Value of the Week: Duke Johnson ($5,000)
In a week where Texans starting RB David Johnson will be out with a concussion, confidently plug in Duke Johnson as a value at the RB position. While Johnson won’t blow you away with talent, he is undoubtedly one of the best backup RB’s in the league, and his ability as a pass-catcher makes him a uniquely high floor play. The Texans backfield is one of the few situations where I believe the drop off from the RB1 to the RB2 is marginal, and in certain situations I would actually rather have Duke over David.
Duke Johnson’s issue in fantasy has never been his talent. It has always had to do with his opportunity. He is evolving into the Ryan Fitzpatrick of running backs. Good enough for teams to confidently sign, but for some reason never viewed as a back who can handle the starting role for the long haul. It’s not a great matchup against the Browns front 7, but I still like Duke’s odds to handle a heavy workload and produce while doing it.
While most DFS players will be on Mike Davis (47% projected ownership) as their backup RB of choice, I think Johnson could be a great contrarian play to separate yourself from the pack.
Talent? Check.
Opportunity? Check.
Projected Ownership
Duke Johnson: 1.9%
