We decided to make our site nerdier by acquiring a Pro Football Focus Elite account (H/T JimboSlice’s black card), and it’s safe to say it’s life changing. We are slowly becoming millionaires on DraftKings because of it, and our big brains are getting even bigger.
Here are some of the key stats that we uncovered on Pro Football Focus this week, and if you want more stats like this, you should buy yourself a subscription. It’s worth every penny.
1. Travis Kelce might put up 100 fantasy points against the lowly Giants
Last week we told you on the Sunday sit/start show to stream something called Garrett Celek, the very average 49ers tight end, against a Giants defense that simply cannot cover tight ends. Celek responded by almost doubling his reception total on the season and added a touchdown on the day. Dating back to last season, the Giants have now allowed a tight end to catch a touchdown pass in 10 consecutive games. It’s safe to say Travis Kelce NEEDS to be in your DFS lineup this week.
2. Dion Lewis, not Rex Burkhead is the Patriot running back to play this weekend
Everyone seems to be cumming themselves over Rex Burkhead this week, and rightfully so after putting up an excellent all-around game in primetime against the Broncos. However, Dion Lewis has seen between 10 and 15 carries in each of his past four games, and has been more than efficient with those carries. He’s currently Pro Football Focus’ second-most difficult running back to tackle this year, and is their eighth highest-graded running back. The Raiders are getting gashed on the ground and have the ninth-worst yards per carry allowed (4.31) in the league.
3. The Dolphins receivers are going to EAT against the Bucs’ secondary
It’s time for Jay Cutler to throw us fantasy guys a bone. The Bucs can’t cover anyone on the perimeter and it’s time for both DeVante Parker and Jarvis Landry to explode. Parker has been relatively quiet, but has seen seven or more targets in every game and has reached at least 65 yards in each game. He’ll likely square up against Robert McClain, who is allowing 77-percent of his targets to be caught. In the slot, Landry will draw Vernon Hargreaves, who is PFF’s 54th ranked corner. Do it for us, Cutty.
4. Rhodes Closed for Robert Woods
Robert Woods has scored about 1,000 points the last two weeks, but it looks like the fun is over for the former member of #BillsMafia. While his teammate Sammy Watkins continues to under-perform, Woods is now considered Jared Goff’s No. 1 target. Unfortunately, it’s now likely that he’s going to be shadowed by Xavier Rhodes, who has locked down every receiver he’s gone against and has yet to allow an opposing receiver to reach the end zone.
5. Hail Mary of the week? Bruce Ellington
It’s really tough to trust Tom Savage when you’re on the quest for a million dollars, but we’re here. With DeAndre Hopkins garnering Patrick Peterson and Will Fuller ruled out, Bruce Ellington will be Savage’s No. 2 target after attracting seven targets in back-to-back games. Luckily, Ellington has run 67-percent of his routes from the slot and the Cardinals have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing slot receivers. Even better, Ellington can be had for the DraftKings minimum of 3k.