The fantasy reaper sharpened his scythe and slashed through fantasy rosters last week. My word!
With IR spots filling like a Sunday afternoon at Buffalo Wild Wings, fortifying rosters and making moves to keep rosters afloat or prepare to go on a run is paramount!
Which players should you try to target? Which should you try to capitalize on for profit and to strengthen your team in the long run?
Through a combination of opportunity-based expected fantasy points (xFP), usage, and market analysis, we hope to guide when and why players should be bought and sold to maximize value while helping with roster construction.
But remember, the spreadsheets are dark and full of terror.
Let’s go!
WEEK 3 BUY-LOW SELL-HIGH TRADE TARGETS
WEEK 3 BUY-LOW TRADE TARGETS
BREECE HALL, RB, NEW YORK JETS
I’m sure whoever reads this will automatically think, “What is this clown doing, recommending a starting workhorse running back as a buy low?
Remember, what’s the premise of buying low and selling high? In the near future, there’s a logical reason to think a boost in production is coming, and his stock will rise.
His next three games: Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland. That’s sexy!
In week one, Hall ripped off 102 yards and a score on 22 rushes while adding a pair of catches for 16 yards. Nothing wrong with a good 19 fantasy points to start the season.
The next week highlighted a bit of a struggle, but here’s where the buy comes in.
He scored 14.2 PPR points despite carrying the rock 16 times for 29 yards, salvaging his week with five catches for 63 yards.
This season, Hall’s role is worth 16.3 xFP (RB12), and he’s averaging 17 FP/g. All of this while being held back by abysmal offensive line play.
Nearly 50% of his rush yardage comes after contact, but he averages only 1.76 yards before contact, 0.2 yards below the league average (1.96).
Hall is being fed, averaging 19 carries and nearly four receptions per game.
The schedule is opening up after a rough start, and Hall is clearly the guy. Go buy him for 75-80% value.
DRAKE LONDON, WR, ATLANTA FALCONS
Michael Penix Jr. stinks. We can all say it.
But compared to Cooper Rush, who should face felony charges for making fans watch his play, Penix is a knight in shining armor.
Through two weeks, London has arguably been the biggest fantasy bust drafted within the first couple of rounds. Although Drake Maye would like to have a word.
Since Week 11 of last season, London has finished as a WR1 only once. And that week didn’t matter. Before his PCL injury during the 2025 playoff stretch, London was on a tear!
Through six games from Week 4 to Week 11, London scored fewer than 24 fantasy points just twice.
During this same span, London was pacing for league-winning numbers with Penix.
We’re talking more receiving yards than Jaxon Smith-Njigba (1,796), more receiving touchdowns than Davante Adams (14), and more fantasy points than Puka Nacua (416).
As bad as Penix is and prone to turning the ball over, he’s good for London. Owners have to be looking to get away from him this season. Pounce on that opportunity!
Other buy-low options: Jameson Williams (DET), Tucker Kraft (GB)
WEEK 3 SELL-HIGH TRADE TARGETS
TRE TUCKER, WR, LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Tucker caught five of his seven targets for, wait.. 119 yards and a score?! He’s a locked-and-loaded flex start moving forward, surely?
Well… he could be. Kirk Cousins is playing inspired football and, honestly, who doesn’t love seeing it? Besides… you know… the people who want to see what Fernando Mendoza looks like.
Tucker is averaging 3.04 yards per route run this season and is commanding a sizzling 37.1% of the Raiders’ air yards.
Explosive plays are part of his repertoire, as evidenced by a pair of 40+ yard snags last week.
So why is he a sell? He’s playing on 65% of the team’s offensive snaps and has been the first read on nearly 24% of his routes.
Well, Brock Bowers is coming back, and this offense runs through him and Ashton Jeanty.
Despite leading the team in snaps and being tied with Michael Mayer in routes run, Tucker is being targeted on fewer than 19% of the team’s passes.
Bowers is not a lock to return this week, so if he sits again, Tucker could return another strong week. His role has been worth only 13.6 xFP, and that is set to drop sooner rather than later.
It’s best to sell him while his value is likely at its highest.
STEFON DIGGS, WR, WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Diggs still has something left in the tank. I can’t deny it any longer.
Still, the days of him being a featured WR appear to be long gone. Don’t believe me? Check the numbers.
So far, so good in Washington. Diggs has caught nine of his 15 targets for 102 yards and three touchdowns.
Wait… what was that? A TD catch every three receptions? That’s 48.4% of his fantasy production coming on three TD catches?
Well, that has to be sustainable, right? He’s yet to post a 70% route rate this season, including 52% last week. While with the Patriots, he posted a 58% participation rate.
Diggs has some high-ceiling games dating back to his days with Maye. He’s seen just three double-digit target games since 2025 and has busted in 53% of his games.
His +2.3 FPOE (16.0 xFP) suggests he’s been overperforming. And with his production seemingly driven by touchdowns, how reliable is he?
While on a per-route basis, Diggs is still great and is a beast at separating. His utilization, especially with Marcus Mariota at the helm for the foreseeable future in Washington, has him positioned as a prime sell-high.
Other players to sell high: Denzel Boston (CLE), Tyler Shough (NO)
