After two weeks of highly predictable football, how is everyone doing? Everything has worked out as predicted!
AJ Brown has finished outside the top 70 WRs each of the first two weeks. Russell Wilson and Daniel Jones are your passing leaders while Travis Etienne is among the league leaders in rushing while Tank Bigsby was shipped off to the Eagles.
You’re telling me everyone didn’t already have that on their bingo cards?
Now, can we trust Mac Jones and Trevor Lawrence moving forward? Time will tell!
As for the rest of the games, who can you start? Who can you sit? Roto Street has the answers!
Quarterback Starts
Dak Prescott vs. Chicago Bears
Everybody saw what Jared Goff just did to the Bears last week, right? A little revenge game narrative against former play-caller Ben Johnson MAY have ramped up how much the Lions piled on.
Still, 43.9 fantasy points in a week screams a matchup to exploit.
PFF noted that the passing yard line for Dak vs. the Bears is 264.5. Utilizing their past performance tool, PFF shows that Dak hits the over 60% of the time. In fact, across five games against similar defenses, Dak averages 311.2 passing yards.
With an over/under of 50.5 for the game, it’s a good bet that the Dak attack leads to a good fantasy day. Start him with top five upside in mind.
Caleb Williams vs. Dallas Cowboys
This is a matchup to exploit! A potential fantasy bonanza if you will. Grabbing a slice of this game could win your matchup.
I won’t sit here and tout Williams as this reliable fantasy option or anything. But he has averaged a strong 23.6 points per game to start 2025. In fact, dating back to the end of last season, Williams has been delivering for fantasy, despite often being an eyesore on the field at times.
He has eclipsed 26 fantasy points in four of his last nine games and has had only three non-useable games in that same span. Not the model of consistency, but he’s delivering in the box score, and that leads to wins for fantasy managers.
The Cowboys just surrendered 450 and 3 dances in pay dirt to Russell Wilson last week. Malik Nabers reminded everyone why he deserved to be the WR1 in the 2024 NFL draft class, and Rome Odunze is in line to have another strong showing too. Your move, Marv?
Other QB starts: Mac Jones vs. ARI, Jake Browning vs. MIN
Quarterback Sits
Trevor Lawrence vs. Houston Texans
This isn’t a matchup to be afraid of, but it’s not a matchup to target either. The Texans are allowing only 19.8 fantasy points to the quarterback position. At the same time, Lawrence continues to throw costly interceptions, but he did throw a TD at a 7.1% clip in week two.
So, perhaps Lawrence just needed a couple of weeks to put everything together. The question is, will Brian Thomas Jr. be able to get going with Derek Stingley Jr. tailing him for much of the game?
An over/under of 44.5 and a strong matchup for Travis Etienne suggest that Lawrence might not have to do a lot for the Jaguars to sneak out of Houston with a win.
Despite last week’s 25.2 scoring outburst, he’s only averaging 16 ppg dating back to the end of last season. A must-start in SuperFlex, but otherwise, Lawrence is just a wait-and-see streamer with weekly starting upside.
Matthew Stafford vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Fresh off a strong 21 fantasy point outing against the Titans, Stafford faces the toughest test he’s faced all year.
That Eagles defense is just so good. After stubbing their toes a bit in the first half against Dallas, the Eagles have allowed just 20 points.
Their defense allows the fewest passing touchdowns to quarterbacks and the eighth-fewest passing yards to quarterbacks.
Look for the Rams and the Eagles to put on more of a defensive battle. Stafford is a great SuperFlex option but should likely be benched in favor of someone like Tyrod Taylor in a spot start.
Other QB sits: Jared Goff vs. BAL, Tua vs. BUF
Running Back Starts
Travis Etienne vs. Houston Texans
Enough with the Bhayshul Tuten hype train. Yes, he’s fun and exciting, but we’re letting shiny new toy syndrome distract us from the real alpha of the team who appears to be in line for the season of his career.
Etienne has scored an average of 17.8 fantasy points per game across two games. He’s tied for second in the league with Jahmyr Gibbs in yards of 20+ yards, behind only Derrick Henry.
The Texans represent a juicy matchup for Etienne, who looks like he could explode in week three.
Despite the rise in work for Tuten, Etienne still saw 16 touches, and the Texans have allowed multiple running backs to score over 13 fantasy points through two games. Last week, Bucky Irving and Rachaad White caught all 8 of their combined targets against the Texans.
Etienne is a low-end RB1 to high-end RB2 with top-five upside in play.
D’Andre Swift vs. Dallas Cowboys
Are you starting to sense a theme here? Start key players in this matchup!
Swift has largely performed right at his floor relative to expectation and utilization. This week represents a get-right opportunity!
He’s currently scoring -2.6 fantasy points over expectation (14.8 xFP) and has eight targets through two weeks under Johnson.
Last week, Swift scored 13.9 fpts against the Lions, but that was an aerial bonanza. The Cowboys allowed Cam Skattebo to score at least that number last week.
Swift is in line for a healthy dose of volume and a high chance of an end zone trip.
Other RB starts: Jaylen Warren vs. NE, TreVeyon Henderson vs. PIT
Running Back Sits
Jacory Croskey-Merritt vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Maybe, just maybe, this Raiders defensive front is legit?
Bill spent more time on his back than picking up rushing yards last week, managing only 1.7 fantasy points. The Raiders have allowed nearly 100 combined yards to opposing RBs through two games. They made life for Omarion Hampton and Henderson/Rhamondre Stevenson.
The Raiders boast a top-10 PFF run defense grade and rank bottom five in fantasy points allowed to the position.
Still, the volume argument is likely on Bill’s side now that Austin Ekeler is done for the season with an Achilles injury.
The wild card lies with how much work Jeremy McNichols and Chris Rodriguez Jr. get and who gets the high-value opportunities.
With Jaylen Daniels in question and Marcus Mariota in line to start if he’s out, touchdown opportunities will likely be more limited. Perhaps it’s best to let Bill sit.
Omarion Hampton vs. Denver Broncos
This matchup is… interesting.
The Chargers aerial attack is CLICKING. Who would have guessed… give the ball to arguably the best passer in the league more and good things happen for your offense? Such a mundane concept seemed overly complicated for the coaching staff the first four weeks of last season.
However, the exciting ground attack has been disappointing through the first two weeks. Hampton has only averaged 5.8 ppg through the first two weeks and an unlucky fumble earned more opportunities for Najee Harris.
While brighter days are inevitable for the uber-talented Hampton, this might not be the week.
The Broncos have a top-four PFF run grade so far and Hamtpon’s only caught three passes this season. That’s including being abused by Jonathan Taylor for nearly 30 fantasy points last week.
Let Hampton work through his rookie growing pains and be ready to explode later this season.
Other RB sits: Quinshon Judkins vs. GB, David Montgomery vs. BAL
Wide Receiver Starts
Michael Pittman vs. Tennessee Titans
Pittman was expected to struggle against the Denver secondary. Instead, Danny Dimes magic continued, but Pittman only caught four of his five targets for 40 yards. Not an awful outing, just nothing you want in your starting lineup.
The Titans offer a much friendlier matchup, allowing three WRs to go for more than 18 fantasy points.
Looking at the history of these divisional rivals, it’s clear that Pittman loves to stick it to the Music City. He’s waltzed into the promised land twice in two of the last three games in Nashville.
Expect Pittman (1 RZ target in 2 games) to bolster his TD tally in week three and should serve as a strong high-end flex play.
Wan’Dale Robinson vs. Kansas City
Week 2 flashed a new skillset for Robinson. While he feasted downfield at Kentucky, his receiving impact has been heavily utilized near the line of scrimmage.
He caught eight passes for 142 yards and a touchdown, scoring over 28 fantasy points, likely on people’s benches. His four deep targets were a career high.
In each game this season, Robinson has had at least eight targets, providing him a safe floor.
He’s accounted for 27.6% of the Giants air yards this season and is the first read on 32% of his routes. Oh, and his quarterback just compared him to a longtime former WR of his and former fantasy star.
As for the Chiefs, Robinson might be licking his chops. Robinson is the king of yards in the slot, ranking first in the NFL in that category, as well as on yards on deep passes. The Chiefs have allowed the second-most yards to slot receivers.
Other WR starts: Rome Odunze vs. DAL, George Pickens vs. CHI
Wide Receiver Sits
Chris Olave vs. Seattle Seahawks
Despite seeing 23 targets this season, Olave has only managed to amass 108 yards and no touchdowns on 13 catches.
In fact, among the seven players with at least 20 targets, he has the fewest yards. The upside case is, what happens if the production starts to catch up with the target volume? He has the lowest percentage of team yards among that same group.
The Seahawks have been stingy against opposing WRs, allowing the second-fewest yards and the lowest completion percentage.
Olave represents a high PPR floor with no upside in a tough matchup with a subpar offense.
I think the sit case writes itself.
Jameson Williams vs. Baltimore Ravens
This may be more of a bust case than a sit case. It’s hard to outright say bench Williams. The guy is arguably the most dangerous, dynamic WR in the game.
He rewarded fantasy managers in week two, catching two of four targets for 108 yards and a TD. But having just nine targets in two games is a cause for concern.
His low output against the Packers can be excused; the Packers are shutting down everyone.
Baltimore looks to be a dangerous secondary in their own right and Williams might represent too low of a floor to comfortably start.
To borrow from the great Mike Wright of the Fantasy Footballers, starting Williams this week might require some steel underpants.
Other WRs to sit: Travis Hunter vs. HOU, Darnell Mooney vs. CAR
