I had a solid Week 3, going 3-1 and narrowly missing out on a 4-0 day with Saquon Barkley surprisingly invisible in the passing game. Let’s keep the train rolling this week on No House Advantage.
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Let’s put our player prop knowledge to the test in what should be a snoozer of a Thursday Night Football matchup between the Steelers and Browns.
2022 Season Record: 10-7-0
NAJEE HARRIS UNDER 62.5 RUSHING YARDS
I guess NHA is going to continue to give us a free Najee Harris square every week! The Browns have faced the likes of Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, and Michael Carter, and neither running back has rushed for over 50 yards — with CMC only gaining 33 yards on 10 carries.
On the flip side, Harris has done nothing on the ground this year as he battles through foot and ankle injuries. He’s only racked up 72 rushing yards on 25 carries (2.9 YPC) and has a game-high of 49 rushing yards (on 15 carries). Harris is banged up and his offensive line sucks — he’s a fade until proven otherwise.
JACOBY BRISSETT OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWN PASSES
Jacoby Brissett isn’t going to break any passing records, but he’s been throwing the rock around more than most expected him to do. Over the first two games, Brissett has completed 65% of his 61 pass attempts with two touchdowns. This game is sure to be low-scoring, but I like the chances of him finding the end zone through the air — especially after establishing a pretty good rapport with Amari Cooper, Donovan Peoples-Jones, and David Njoku. The Steelers have allowed three total touchdown passes on the season to Joe Burrow and Mac Jones.
AMARI COOPER OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS
As noted above, Brissett and Cooper are on the same page and the limited signal-caller is targeting his alpha at a high rate. Over two games, Brissett has targeted Cooper 16 times — highlighted by 10 last week against the Jets. Even better, Cooper hauled in nine of those 10 targets for over 100 yards and a touchdown. Brissett is locking onto his WR1 and will do so again on Thursday night.
OTHERS TO ADD TO YOUR CARD:
Nick Chubb under 90.5 rushing yards; Donovan Peoples-Jones over 2.5 receptions; Chase Claypool under 4.5 receptions; Mitch Trubisky under 1.5 touchdown passes; Najee Harris over 23.5 receiving yards
Sign up now using promo code RSJ or click the link to get a first deposit match up to $25 to boost your chances at winning BIG in PICK ‘EM contests or 20X your entry Vs The House.
