Bottom Line: A powerful yet elusive runner with excellent receiving chops, Gurley is the NFL’s picturesque workhorse. He’s an elite talent that’s both heavily and creatively utilized, leading to back-to-back finishes as the Top RB and overall skill player in fantasy with over 340 FPs (2017 and 2018, Half PPR), despite missing Week 16 this past year. He’s dangerous in space, especially with blockers in front, and is deadly in short yardage with a bloodhound nose for the endzone, as evidenced by 19 and 21 TDs in his past two seasons.
This is perfect, as offensive wizard Sean McVay dials up oodles of screens and RZ rushing chances for Gurley, creating Fantasy Gold. The overall offense is a juggernaut loaded with other talent, averaging 31.9 PPG (3rd) -- and Gurley is the heartbeat. This keeps defenses honest, scoring chances plentiful, and Gurley’s fantasy outputs unfair. Best of all? Gurley’s been an iron man, missing just one game due to health since returning from his college ACL tear. Even with new workhorses emerging in Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, and Christian McCaffrey, there's no one else to even consider with the first overall pick.
Ceiling Projection: 350 touches (65 rec.), 2,100 Tot. Yds, 22 TDs
Floor Projection*: 310 touches (50 rec.), 1700 Tot. Yds, 12 TDs
Actual Projection: 340 touches (60 rec), 1900 Tot. Yds, 18 TDs
*Note - Floors are done without injuries in mind. Of course the lowest floor is torn ACL first play of scrimmage. This assumes 16 games