Bottom Line: 2018's top WR in FPPG (18.3), Adams absolutely flourished in his first year without Jordy Nelson as the new apple of Aaron Rodgers' eye. Adams himself is a rangy 6'1" with a combine-leading vertical (39.5), creating an absolute Red Zone terror, especially with a QB who can place the ball wherever he wants; unsurprisingly, Adams ranked second in the league with 13 TDs thanks to an NFL-best 31 Red Zone targets, marking the third straight year with 10+ scores. Yet, as one of Rodgers' only reliable weapons, Adams' usage wasn't just restricted to inside-the-20, with the elite wideout ranking second in the league in overall targets (169). As the clear-cut top target still, Adams once again projects to see top-five volume from one of the league's best throwers, a recipe for continued fantasy domination.
Sure, questions exist: who will be calling plays? Will he face greater competition for looks? Even still, Adams combination of Individual Talent, Usage, and Surrounding Talent will keep him a Top-Three WR selection worthy of WR1 consideration due to the highest floor in the game. He never dipped below 13 FPs in all of 2018, while also offering week-swinging ceiling. There's not a safer first-round WR investment.
Ceiling Projection: 120 rec (170 tgts), 1,500 Yds, 15 TDs
Floor Projection*: 95 rec (130 tgts), 1000 Yds, 10 TDs
Actual Projection: 115 rec (160 tgts), 1350 yds, 13 TDs
*Note - Floors are done without injuries in mind. Of course the lowest floor is torn ACL first play of scrimmage. This assumes 16 games