Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Stock Profile - Roto Street Journal
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Todd Gurley Fantasy Football Stock Profile


Todd Gurley


Talent – 30/30:  Equally powerful as he is elusive, Gurley steamrolls or evades would-be tacklers with ease. Despite his sturdy, thick frame, Gurley has rare speed to complement his strength, and can easily house the long one when he finds space. Flashed incredible receiving versatility when finally utilized to his full capacity by Sean McVay, displaying smooth route running and impeccable hands. Especially dangerous with space and blockers in the screen game. Bloodhound nose for the end zone.


Usage- 25/25: One of the few remaining three-down workhorse cheatcodes. Gurley’s 343 total touches (279 carries, 64 receptions (84 targets) trailed only LeSean McCoy and Le’Veon Bell in 2017, with Gurley ranking fourth in carries and fifth in targets among RBs. Highest red zone usage in the NFL, leading the league in attempts inside the 20 (62), 10 (32), and 5 yard lines (18).


Surrounding Talent –  14/15:  Thanks to the stabilizing additions of Andrew Whitworth and Jason Meyers at LT and C respectively, the Rams offensive line took an enormous leap forward in 2018. The unit skyrocketed from PFF’s 27th ranked line in 2016 to the 6th highest grade this past season, with Rams RBs averaging 1.90 yards before contact — fifth-most in the NFL. Additionally, Jared Goff took a massive leap forward under Sean McVay’s tutelage, aided by strong WR additions in Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods; Brandin Cooks should only bolster an attack that scored the third most points in the league (28.9). The perfect blend of enough surrounding talent to keep defenses honest, yet not too much that Gurley’s usage is in jeopardy.


Coaching Scheme – 10/10: After more-than doubling the Rams’ 2016 offensive output (14.0 PPG to 28.9), Sean McVay left little doubt about his offensive wizardry. He entered 2017 with the goal of “merging the running and receiving games,” and clearly succeeded. McVay masterfully utilizes the entire play clock for audibling his team into ideal situations, and creates constant mismatches, especially in the screen game. Consistently came out firing, as the Rams led the league in 1st half pace of play, before slowing down dramatically to 31st in second halves.


Risk – 9/10:  Despite consistently heavy workloads, Gurley has not missed any injury-related time since his first three games of his rookie season when recovering from a torn ACL while at Georgia. Well built for a pounding, and protects his body well with a lower center of gravity. Consistency-wise, Gurley was a Top-25 RB in 14/15 weeks, Top-10 in 11/15 contests, and a Top-5 RB eight times — scoring 23+ in all of these contests. This included back-to-back 40+ FP days in Weeks 15 and 16 to hand-deliver fantasy championships to his owners.


Upside – 10/10: As mentioned, Gurley was a bonafide week-winner in over half his contests, topping 23 FPs eight times. This included two 40+ FP efforts in the Fantasy Championships. The rare combination of hefty rushing, receiving, and red zone usage makes him a threat to top 30 FPs every single week.


Overall Stock Score – 98


Bottom Line:  Last year’s Fantasy MVP by a mile returns to the same glorious set up in 2018, making a repeat of  “Cheat Code” stats highly likely. Durable, consistent, incredibly versatile, and used to his utmost capacity in an explosive overall offense, Gurley grades at the top of every single meaningful fantasy value indicator. He’s a locked-in Top-Two selection, with only Le’Veon Bell approaching his throne.


Talent 30/30
Usage 25/25
Surrounding Talent 14/15
Coaching Scheme 10/10
Risk 9/10
Upside 10/10
Overall Stock Score 98/100
Ceiling Projection 350 touches (65 rec.), 2,100 Tot. Yds, 20 TDs
Floor Projection 320 touches (50 rec.), 1800 Tot. Yds, 15 TDs

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